South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%South Dakota State

72.4%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -262

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 68

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreMerrimack 74

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricMerrimack

49.6MMH Power Index53.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.9Defensive Efficiency103.2

3.7Net Efficiency3.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule0.7

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

68.2Tempo64.4

52.6%Effective FG%49.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.6Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–49.6), defensive efficiency (103.2–106.9), strength of schedule (0.7–-2.2), recent form (12.9–0.5).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–106.4), net efficiency (3.7–3.2), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.3).

Final

South Dakota State

75—66

Merrimack

South Dakota State by 9 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATMerrimack

24-57FG18-56

42.0%FG%32.0%

7-183PT8-29

39.0%3PT%28.0%

20-26FT22-27

77.0%FT%81.0%

44Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists9

14Turnovers11

4Steals8

4Blocks6

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Jackson	G	38	8-18	5-8	2-3	5	3	0	0	23
Matthew Mors	F	31	4-9	0-0	8-9	9	3	3	2	16
Damon Wilkinson	C	19	3-7	0-0	4-5	7	1	0	0	10
Kalen Garry	G	35	2-7	2-6	3-4	7	4	1	0	9
Joe Sayler	G	19	3-5	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Luke Haertle	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Alec Squires	C	14	1-1	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	2	3
Caleb Delzell	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Trey Buchanan	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tye Dorset	G	35	7-12	3-6	2-3	2	2	1	0	19
Ernest Shelton	G	34	2-8	2-6	9-11	3	0	3	1	15
Andrés Marrero	G	27	3-8	1-6	6-7	3	1	1	0	13
Kevair Kennedy	G	32	3-10	0-1	4-4	3	2	1	0	10
Jaylen Stinson	G	7	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Aliou Cisse	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
KC Ugwuakazi	F	17	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	3	1
Todd Brogna	F	22	0-8	0-8	0-0	3	3	1	1	0
Malik Edmead	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dylan Veillette	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

107.0Offensive Efficiency94.2

94.2Defensive Efficiency107.0

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

48.2%Effective FG%39.3%

54.1%True Shooting %47.9%

20.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

45.6%Free Throw Rate48.2%

31.6%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.21Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.