Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Incarnate Word

84.7%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -554

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 69

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreColorado State 80

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricColorado State

44.6MMH Power Index55.4

112.0Offensive Efficiency117.1

111.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

0.8Net Efficiency7.2

-3.6Strength of Schedule0.4

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

66.3Tempo64.7

52.2%Effective FG%58.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.2%

0.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.6), offensive efficiency (117.1–112.0), defensive efficiency (109.9–111.2), net efficiency (7.2–0.8).

Incarnate Word COUNTERS WITHball security (16.8–18.3), offensive rebounding (34.4–29.2).

Final

Incarnate Word

64—98

Colorado State

Colorado State by 34 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATColorado State

23-59FG29-48

39.0%FG%60.0%

6-263PT13-25

23.0%3PT%52.0%

12-21FT27-30

57.0%FT%90.0%

20Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists22

5Turnovers10

7Steals1

1Blocks1

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahj Staveskie	G	36	9-16	3-9	6-6	3	4	3	0	27
Davion Bailey	G	37	7-18	2-9	4-6	6	1	0	0	20
Jayden Williams	C	10	2-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	5
Harold Woods	G	30	2-7	0-1	0-4	3	1	1	0	4
Jordan Pyke	F	22	1-4	0-2	1-4	1	0	1	0	3
Harrison Reede	G	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Love Bettis	G	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Marcus Glover	F	28	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Tyler Simon	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	26	6-7	4-5	3-3	4	6	0	0	19
Josh Pascarelli	G	25	6-8	4-6	2-2	1	1	0	0	18
Kyle Jorgensen	F	26	3-5	1-3	8-9	9	4	1	0	15
Jevin Muniz	G	26	5-8	0-3	3-3	4	7	0	1	13
Carey Booth	F	19	3-5	3-4	2-2	6	1	0	0	11
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	18	1-3	0-1	4-4	3	1	0	0	6
Jase Butler	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Jon Mekonnen	F	6	0-3	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4
Darnez Slater	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Nikola Djapa	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Charlie Dortch	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jojo McIver	G	10	0-2	0-1	1-3	5	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

97.4Offensive Efficiency149.2

149.2Defensive Efficiency97.4

-51.8Net Efficiency51.8

44.1%Effective FG%74.0%

46.4%True Shooting %78.7%

7.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

35.6%Free Throw Rate62.5%

44.1%3-Point Rate52.1%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.