Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.9%Montana State

60.1%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado -151

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreColorado 80

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricColorado

53.6MMH Power Index52.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency112.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

9.5Net Efficiency0.5

-3.7Strength of Schedule5.1

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

68.1Tempo71.0

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

6.5Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.4–112.9), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.4), net efficiency (9.5–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–-3.7), ball security (14.6–14.7), offensive rebounding (29.1–28.1).

Final

Montana State

78—84

Colorado

Colorado by 6 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATColorado

29-56FG27-52

52.0%FG%52.0%

7-203PT3-12

35.0%3PT%25.0%

13-17FT27-39

76.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists17

11Turnovers9

3Steals7

2Blocks3

27Fouls18

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	28	10-13	1-1	3-3	4	1	0	0	24
Cavin Holden	G	33	5-11	2-5	2-2	0	3	0	0	14
Christian King	F	34	3-10	2-5	2-2	1	1	1	1	10
Jed Miller	G	30	3-6	1-4	3-3	4	2	2	0	10
Chris Hodges	F	29	4-7	0-0	0-3	5	0	0	0	8
Christian King	Forward	--	2-3	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	1	7
Davian Brown	G	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Waka Mbatch	F	9	1-1	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Jaden Steppe	F	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Davis	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	G	26	6-9	2-3	10-12	1	2	0	0	24
Sebastian Rancik	F	32	3-9	1-4	6-7	0	2	1	0	13
Bangot Dak	F	24	5-8	0-2	2-3	9	1	0	2	12
Barrington Hargress	G	30	5-11	0-0	1-2	2	3	1	0	11
Elijah Malone	C	25	2-3	0-0	6-9	13	5	4	1	10
Felix Kossaras	G	23	3-5	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Josiah Sanders	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-4	3	1	0	0	4
Jalin Holland	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Fawaz Ifaola	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ian Inman	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Andrew Crawford	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

113.4Offensive Efficiency122.1

122.1Defensive Efficiency113.4

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

58.0%Effective FG%54.8%

60.9%True Shooting %59.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.4%Free Throw Rate75.0%

35.7%3-Point Rate23.1%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Colorado won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.