Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Cal Poly

67.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL166.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -203

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 80

Projected Total166.7

Projected ScoreUSC 87

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUSC

46.5MMH Power Index48.3

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

-3.8Net Efficiency0.9

1.7Strength of Schedule2.5

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

76.6Tempo72.4

52.2%Effective FG%50.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-2.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.5–107.2), defensive efficiency (107.6–111.0), net efficiency (0.9–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.4–-16.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.7).

Final

Cal Poly

64—94

USC

USC by 30 • 82.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUSC

24-72FG29-63

33.0%FG%46.0%

9-333PT9-26

27.0%3PT%35.0%

7-12FT27-40

58.0%FT%68.0%

40Rebounds44

17Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists24

22Turnovers14

7Steals7

4Blocks11

30Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Assran	F	18	4-8	2-3	3-5	8	2	0	0	13
Hamad Mousa	G	31	5-18	2-6	0-0	5	2	2	0	12
Peter Bandelj	G	29	4-9	2-6	2-5	4	6	0	1	12
Cayden Ward	G	19	4-11	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Troy Plumtree	F	18	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Jake Davis	G	26	2-9	0-5	0-0	6	3	3	2	4
Guzman Vasilic	G	23	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Austin Goode	F	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Jason Scott	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Cofie	F	27	9-12	1-1	4-4	10	2	1	3	23
Rodney Rice	G	34	5-14	4-10	7-10	2	8	1	1	21
Ezra Ausar	F	23	6-9	0-0	9-16	6	4	1	1	21
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	23	2-10	2-8	6-7	7	1	1	1	12
Jaden Brownell	F	12	4-7	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	10
Jerry Easter II	G	20	2-7	0-1	0-0	7	3	1	0	4
Amarion Dickerson	G	21	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	1	1	2	3
Jordan Marsh	G	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	0
Terrance Williams II	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	3	0
Ryan Cornish	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
EJ Neal Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.9Possessions82.9

77.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency77.2

-36.2Net Efficiency36.2

39.6%Effective FG%53.2%

41.2%True Shooting %57.3%

26.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

16.7%Free Throw Rate63.5%

45.8%3-Point Rate41.3%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

USC won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 82.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.