North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.9%North Dakota State

34.1%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -193

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 77

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreOregon State 72

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricOregon State

59MMH Power Index48.5

115.4Offensive Efficiency105.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

14.6Net Efficiency-4.5

-4.6Strength of Schedule4.5

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

69.6Tempo67.2

54.5%Effective FG%50.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

31.3%Free Throw Rate43.9%

10.1Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–48.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–105.8), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.3), net efficiency (14.6–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–-4.6), free throw rate (43.9–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

65—67

Oregon State

Oregon State by 2 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATOregon State

26-66FG20-45

39.0%FG%44.0%

6-313PT8-22

19.0%3PT%36.0%

7-11FT19-26

64.0%FT%73.0%

36Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists13

7Turnovers12

7Steals5

1Blocks—

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markhi Strickland	G	28	7-10	0-0	3-6	2	1	0	1	17
Treyson Anderson	F	15	4-7	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	0	10
Andy Stefonowicz	G	30	3-9	0-5	3-3	7	4	1	0	9
Noah Feddersen	F	25	4-13	1-7	0-0	4	3	3	0	9
Trevian Carson	G	29	3-8	1-4	0-0	6	3	0	0	7
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	21	2-7	2-4	0-0	5	3	1	0	6
Tay Smith	G	31	2-8	1-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
Carson Smith	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Max Majerle	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Emil Skytta	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Sy	F	20	3-6	3-6	3-4	5	3	0	12
Josiah Lake II	G	35	3-5	0-1	4-5	8	1	1	10
Dez White	G	33	3-8	2-4	2-2	4	5	2	10
Yaak Yaak	C	24	2-3	0-0	6-6	2	0	1	10
Johan Munch	F	15	3-5	0-1	4-7	3	0	0	10
Matija Samar	G	21	3-6	3-6	0-0	3	0	1	9
Keziah Ekissi	G	20	1-7	0-2	0-2	4	3	0	2
Olavi Suutela	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	2
Noah Amenhauser	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Malcolm Christie	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

98.8Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency98.8

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

43.9%Effective FG%53.3%

45.6%True Shooting %58.4%

10.4%Turnover Rate18.6%

16.7%Free Throw Rate57.8%

47.0%3-Point Rate48.9%

2.43Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.