South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.5%South Carolina Upstate

89.5%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -852

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 65

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricCalifornia Baptist

43.6MMH Power Index58.3

104.5Offensive Efficiency106.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

0.8Net Efficiency7.5

-3.8Strength of Schedule1.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

71.1Tempo68.2

50.3%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

0.6Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–43.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–104.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–103.7), net efficiency (7.5–0.8).

South Carolina Upstate COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.3–48.8), ball security (17.6–17.9).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

75—87

California Baptist

California Baptist by 12 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

25-54FG34-64

46.0%FG%53.0%

5-173PT7-16

29.0%3PT%44.0%

20-29FT12-21

69.0%FT%57.0%

30Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds13

5Assists16

14Turnovers7

5Steals3

3Blocks1

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karmani Gregory	G	35	9-13	2-6	4-5	2	3	1	0	24
Learic Davis	F	21	5-7	2-4	3-4	5	0	1	1	15
Mason Bendinger	G	25	4-13	1-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	10
Carmelo Adkins	G	27	2-4	0-0	4-6	6	1	0	0	8
Breylin Garcia	F	15	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Tyler Smith	G	32	1-9	0-2	3-4	3	0	3	0	5
Nic Book	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Coen Collier	C	17	0-2	0-2	1-2	6	0	0	1	1
Jafeth Martinez	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-3	0	0	0	1	1
Isaiah Skinner	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	1

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	10-19	1-5	2-2	2	6	0	0	23
Thomas Ndong	F	24	6-9	1-2	1-2	5	1	1	0	14
Martel Williams	G	19	4-7	2-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	12
Miles Daniels	G	27	3-3	1-1	4-6	2	4	2	1	11
Jayden Jackson	G	35	3-7	2-4	2-4	8	4	0	0	10
Jonathan Griman	F	29	4-5	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	9
Bradey Henige	F	15	2-7	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Devon Malcolm	F	11	1-5	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Jordan Muller	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jalen Dollar	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

105.8Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

50.9%Effective FG%58.6%

55.3%True Shooting %58.8%

19.0%Turnover Rate10.3%

53.7%Free Throw Rate32.8%

31.5%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.36Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.