Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.6%Georgia Southern

49.4%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -102

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 79

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 79

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricEast Carolina

49.1MMH Power Index44.3

112.3Offensive Efficiency102.0

110.6Defensive Efficiency110.5

1.7Net Efficiency-8.5

-2.2Strength of Schedule2.6

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.0Tempo70.1

52.1%Effective FG%46.7%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.4%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

39.5%Free Throw Rate40.2%

1.2Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–44.3), offensive efficiency (112.3–102.0), net efficiency (1.7–-8.5), recent form (1.7–-1.8).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.5–110.6), strength of schedule (2.6–-2.2), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.6).

Final

Georgia Southern

89—92

East Carolina

East Carolina by 3 • 80.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATEast Carolina

31-66FG31-66

47.0%FG%47.0%

9-223PT4-20

41.0%3PT%20.0%

18-30FT26-41

60.0%FT%63.0%

37Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds18

12Assists18

14Turnovers13

11Steals8

1Blocks5

26Fouls20

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alden Applewhite	F	26	7-11	2-4	5-5	5	1	2	0	21
Tyren Moore	G	29	6-10	4-7	2-4	1	4	1	0	18
Spudd Webb	G	22	5-10	0-2	6-7	4	1	1	1	16
Shainen Carter	F	23	3-5	0-0	3-8	8	0	0	0	9
Khayri Dunn	G	17	4-7	1-3	0-1	4	0	3	0	9
Nakavieon White	F	22	4-11	0-1	0-1	1	5	1	0	8
Tsvet Sotirov	F	20	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	18	0-3	0-1	2-4	5	1	1	0	2
Andres Burney	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	33	9-17	0-2	4-7	8	2	6	0	22
Giovanni Emejuru	C	24	5-8	0-0	7-11	9	0	0	2	17
Reid Cason	F	22	7-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	14
Isaiah Mbeng	G	27	2-3	2-3	3-5	2	8	1	0	9
Eli DeLaurier	F	12	3-4	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Vito Perkovic	F	16	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Corey Caulker	G	33	2-14	1-7	1-2	3	5	1	0	6
Tybo Bailey	G	14	0-3	0-2	5-8	3	0	0	0	5
Jayshayne Woodard	G	19	0-2	0-2	4-6	5	1	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

80.4Possessions80.4

110.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency110.7

-3.7Net Efficiency3.7

53.8%Effective FG%50.0%

55.5%True Shooting %53.8%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.2%

45.5%Free Throw Rate62.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate30.3%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 80.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.