Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Eastern Illinois

83.5%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -506

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 65

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreValparaiso 75

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricValparaiso

39.9MMH Power Index49.9

99.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

104.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

-4.8Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.3

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.4Tempo67.5

47.5%Effective FG%48.7%

18.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

33.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–39.9), offensive efficiency (106.6–99.6), net efficiency (0.8–-4.8), strength of schedule (0.3–-2.4).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–105.8).

Final

Eastern Illinois

63—66

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 3 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

18-46FG19-55

39.0%FG%35.0%

2-93PT7-31

22.0%3PT%23.0%

25-31FT21-35

81.0%FT%60.0%

41Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds16

4Assists8

20Turnovers14

5Steals13

3Blocks4

30Fouls22

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Preston Turner	G	39	4-5	2-3	6-9	4	0	2	0	16
Zion Fruster	G	34	4-14	0-2	4-4	6	2	3	0	12
Terry McMorris	F	27	2-5	0-0	7-9	11	0	0	1	11
Malik Olafioye	G	27	4-11	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	1	9
Kooper Jacobi	F	23	2-5	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Meechie White	G	10	1-2	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	1	5
Prince Johnson	F	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Markus Blackwell	G	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Andrew Austin	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Nazareth Fisher	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Barnes	G	32	4-10	1-4	6-9	10	1	1	0	15
JT Pettigrew	F	27	3-6	0-1	7-11	4	0	0	0	13
Rakim Chaney	G	24	3-8	2-6	4-4	0	0	5	1	12
Brody Whitaker	G	25	2-8	2-7	2-2	5	0	0	0	8
Mark Brown Jr.	G	19	2-9	2-7	0-2	1	3	0	0	6
Justus McNair	G	12	2-6	0-2	1-3	1	1	2	1	5
Carter Hopoi	F	27	1-4	0-2	1-2	6	1	2	2	3
Owen Dease	F	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Shon Tupuola	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	1	0	2	0	2
Tucker Tornatta	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Sader Servilus	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

89.7Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency89.7

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

41.3%Effective FG%40.9%

51.9%True Shooting %46.1%

28.3%Turnover Rate20.1%

67.4%Free Throw Rate63.6%

19.6%3-Point Rate56.4%

0.20Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.