Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Tarleton State

82.9%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLSU -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINELSU -485

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 74

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreLSU 83

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricLSU

44.6MMH Power Index54.2

103.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

101.6Defensive Efficiency111.3

1.6Net Efficiency4.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule4.5

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

72.2Tempo70.5

49.0%Effective FG%53.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate41.9%

1.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–103.2), net efficiency (4.2–1.6), strength of schedule (4.5–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–111.3), recent form (-6.7–-12.8), free throw rate (42.8–41.9).

Final

Tarleton State

60—96

LSU

LSU by 36 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATLSU

20-62FG33-46

32.0%FG%72.0%

7-223PT8-18

32.0%3PT%44.0%

13-18FT22-29

72.0%FT%76.0%

20Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists21

9Turnovers16

9Steals5

—Blocks6

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kade Douglas	G	26	6-12	4-7	3-3	0	1	0	19
Freddy Hicks	G	37	3-10	1-4	5-8	4	1	2	12
AJ Dent Jr.	F	24	4-9	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	10
Matyas Vrabel	F	20	4-7	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	10
Chris Mpaka	F	8	2-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	4
Jordan Mizell	G	24	0-4	0-0	3-4	1	1	1	3
Leroy Kelly IV	G	14	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	2
Cam McDowell	G	24	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0
Cameron Thomas	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0
Kaia Isaac	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0
Ocypher Owens	F	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Martinez	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Andy Sigiscar	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Dior Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	27	6-7	4-5	3-3	3	5	0	0	19
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	26	6-7	0-1	4-4	5	8	0	0	16
Marquel Sutton	F	26	5-9	2-6	1-1	2	0	0	1	13
Mike Nwoko	F	18	5-6	0-0	1-4	8	0	0	3	11
Jalen Reed	F	18	3-4	1-2	4-6	6	1	2	0	11
Robert Miller III	F	25	2-2	0-0	6-6	6	1	2	1	10
Jalen Reece	G	14	2-4	0-0	1-1	0	3	0	0	5
PJ Carter	G	11	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Pablo Tamba	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-2	5	1	0	0	4
Rashad King	G	17	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	1	2
Ron Zipper	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Bobbett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mazi Mosley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

88.0Offensive Efficiency140.8

140.8Defensive Efficiency88.0

-52.8Net Efficiency52.8

37.9%Effective FG%80.4%

42.5%True Shooting %80.3%

13.3%Turnover Rate23.3%

29.0%Free Throw Rate63.0%

35.5%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

LSU won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.