South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%South Carolina Upstate

71.1%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -246

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 71

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 77

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricFresno State

43.6MMH Power Index47.1

104.5Offensive Efficiency104.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency104.9

0.8Net Efficiency0.0

-3.8Strength of Schedule1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

71.1Tempo69.4

50.3%Effective FG%51.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

0.6Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Carolina Upstate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Carolina Upstate holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (103.7–104.9), net efficiency (0.8–0.0), recent form (-4.9–-6.0), ball security (17.6–18.2).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (47.1–43.6), offensive efficiency (104.9–104.5), strength of schedule (1.5–-3.8).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

67—66

Fresno State

South Carolina Upstate by 1 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATFresno State

25-50FG22-62

50.0%FG%35.0%

6-173PT7-30

35.0%3PT%23.0%

11-17FT15-22

65.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists8

22Turnovers12

7Steals6

4Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karmani Gregory	G	29	6-14	3-8	0-1	1	2	1	0	15
Mason Bendinger	G	28	6-11	0-2	2-3	3	1	0	0	14
Carmelo Adkins	G	30	3-3	1-1	6-8	8	0	2	0	13
Tyler Smith	G	34	2-9	1-4	2-2	4	3	2	0	7
Breylin Garcia	F	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Jafeth Martinez	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-1	10	0	0	3	4
Coen Collier	C	18	1-1	0-0	1-1	4	1	1	0	3
Kanye Jones	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Learic Davis	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Skinner	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	1	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	32	8-14	0-3	2-4	4	3	1	0	18
Jake Heidbreder	G	37	3-13	3-10	3-4	2	0	2	0	12
DeShawn Gory	F	18	3-6	1-3	1-3	3	0	0	0	8
Jac Mani	F	20	2-7	1-6	2-3	2	1	0	0	7
Wilson Jacques	C	19	2-7	0-1	0-0	7	1	1	1	4
Gasper Kocevar	C	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Cameron Faas	G	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
DJ Stickman	G	16	0-0	0-0	3-4	2	2	0	0	3
Bastien Rieber	G	8	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Makhan Diouf	F	12	0-3	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	2	2
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	0	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

94.6Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency94.6

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

56.0%Effective FG%41.1%

57.7%True Shooting %45.5%

31.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

34.0%3-Point Rate48.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

South Carolina Upstate won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.