Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Alcorn State

95.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -20.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -1983

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 63

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 84

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricSouth Alabama

29.1MMH Power Index51.4

96.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

115.1Defensive Efficiency103.9

-19.1Net Efficiency6.4

-2.1Strength of Schedule-3.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.7Tempo67.4

47.8%Effective FG%53.2%

19.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

32.4%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-13.3Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–29.1), offensive efficiency (110.3–96.0), defensive efficiency (103.9–115.1), net efficiency (6.4–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-3.7), offensive rebounding (26.8–24.9).

Final

Alcorn State

70—76

South Alabama

South Alabama by 6 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATSouth Alabama

24-55FG28-53

44.0%FG%53.0%

13-363PT4-12

36.0%3PT%33.0%

9-11FT16-27

82.0%FT%59.0%

27Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists12

18Turnovers15

11Steals7

2Blocks—

25Fouls10

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shane Lancaster	G	32	8-17	7-13	2-2	1	1	2	0	25
Nick Woodard	SF	27	4-6	3-4	3-3	7	3	0	0	14
Tycen McDaniels	F	32	5-5	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	12
Davian Williams	PG	28	2-10	1-8	0-0	4	3	3	0	5
Jameel Morris	PG	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	3	3	0	5
Omari Hamilton	F	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Travis Roberts	SG	31	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Mike Jones	SG	10	0-2	0-2	2-4	2	1	1	0	2
Jeremy Ellis	PF	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	2	0
Bryson Calamese	PG	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Peyton Law	F	38	13-15	0-0	3-4	9	1	2	29
Jayden Cooper	G	38	8-15	3-7	3-7	3	0	2	22
Chaze Harris	G	27	3-10	0-0	3-5	2	7	1	9
Adam Olsen	F	33	1-4	0-3	4-4	3	0	0	6
Randy Brady	F	30	2-4	0-0	1-3	8	4	0	5
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	15	1-2	1-1	2-2	3	0	1	5
JJ Wheat	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0
Brian Hawthorne	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Stephen Williams	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
John Broom	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

97.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency97.2

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

55.5%Effective FG%56.6%

58.1%True Shooting %57.7%

25.3%Turnover Rate20.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate50.9%

65.5%3-Point Rate22.6%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.