UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%UC Riverside

68.7%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -219

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 74

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 81

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricNorth Dakota

41.2MMH Power Index43.7

103.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency110.2

-7.0Net Efficiency-1.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-3.4

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

70.7Tempo70.1

49.8%Effective FG%50.1%

18.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-4.9Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–41.2), offensive efficiency (109.2–103.1), net efficiency (-1.0–-7.0), shooting efficiency (50.1–49.8).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–110.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-3.4), recent form (-5.1–-7.2).

Final

UC Riverside

74—70

North Dakota

UC Riverside by 4 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATNorth Dakota

24-43FG26-59

56.0%FG%44.0%

4-143PT6-23

29.0%3PT%26.0%

22-27FT12-24

81.0%FT%50.0%

35Rebounds29

4Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists17

19Turnovers10

4Steals10

4Blocks3

19Fouls24

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	38	6-9	0-2	9-11	5	5	2	0	21
Osiris Grady	F	34	6-11	0-0	7-8	6	1	1	0	19
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	30	4-6	0-2	2-3	4	0	1	2	10
Andrew Henderson	G	24	3-4	2-3	2-2	4	3	0	0	10
Dylan Godfrey	F	20	3-7	1-4	0-1	3	2	0	0	7
Ben Waller	G	10	1-3	0-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	4
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	26	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
BJ Kolly	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Tyler Jones	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daniel Tobiloba	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Smith III	G	28	6-11	1-3	4-4	2	4	4	0	17
Eli King	G	31	5-9	1-3	1-4	4	2	2	0	12
Zach Kraft	G	31	4-7	4-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	12
Josh Jones	C	24	4-9	0-2	2-5	5	3	0	1	10
George Natsvlishvili	F	13	3-7	0-0	2-5	6	0	1	0	8
Greyson Uelmen	G	22	2-5	0-2	2-4	3	5	1	0	6
Garrett Anderson	G	30	2-7	0-3	1-2	3	2	1	1	5
Marley Curtis	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Anthony Doppler	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matthew Bothun	F	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Reggie Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

104.8Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

60.5%Effective FG%49.2%

66.3%True Shooting %49.7%

26.8%Turnover Rate14.2%

62.8%Free Throw Rate40.7%

32.6%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.