Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

72.2%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland -260

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 76

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScorePortland 83

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricPortland

38.7MMH Power Index42.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency104.8

111.6Defensive Efficiency110.6

-5.2Net Efficiency-5.8

-6.0Strength of Schedule1.8

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

72.6Tempo71.0

51.4%Effective FG%52.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

37.7%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-3.8Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (106.4–104.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-5.8), recent form (1.3–-8.1), ball security (18.5–19.3).

Portland COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (42.7–38.7), defensive efficiency (110.6–111.6), strength of schedule (1.8–-6.0).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

74—83

Portland

Portland by 9 • 82.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATPortland

21-57FG26-59

37.0%FG%44.0%

8-253PT6-27

32.0%3PT%22.0%

24-27FT25-32

89.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists20

19Turnovers19

11Steals8

2Blocks4

24Fouls21

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	40	10-16	2-4	9-10	13	3	4	0	31
Jaquan Scott	F	27	1-10	0-2	12-12	5	0	0	0	14
Jai'chaunn Hayes	G	17	4-6	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	11
Trevon Payton	G	38	3-9	1-4	1-2	5	2	3	0	8
Alex Mirhosseini	G	26	2-10	2-9	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Milhan Charles	G	37	1-4	0-2	2-3	4	4	3	2	4
Kyle Brown	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ahmad Johnson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Travis Pourciau	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikah Ballew	G	25	3-8	3-5	6-6	0	1	1	0	15
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	16	4-6	0-2	6-7	4	0	0	1	14
Joel Foxwell	G	32	4-10	0-5	4-5	6	10	1	0	12
Timo George	F	24	3-7	0-2	6-8	4	0	0	2	12
Cameron Williams	F	17	3-4	1-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	9
James O'Donnell	F	22	4-10	0-1	0-2	10	0	1	0	8
Garrett Nuckolls	G	27	3-9	1-7	0-0	5	4	4	1	7
Matúš Hronský	F	23	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Preston Lee	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.5Possessions82.5

89.7Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency89.7

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

43.9%Effective FG%49.2%

53.0%True Shooting %55.9%

23.8%Turnover Rate22.3%

47.4%Free Throw Rate54.2%

43.9%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.05

Game Summary

Portland won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 82.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.