Green Bay

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Green Bay

59.5%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -147

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 75

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Team Comparison

Green BayMetricBuffalo

50.8MMH Power Index49.7

114.0Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

0.0Net Efficiency2.7

0.7Strength of Schedule0.0

5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

65.7Tempo67.9

55.4%Effective FG%56.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

42.4%Free Throw Rate40.4%

0.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–114.0), defensive efficiency (112.2–114.0), net efficiency (2.7–0.0), shooting efficiency (56.1–55.4).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.8–49.7), strength of schedule (0.7–0.0), recent form (5.1–-5.9).

Final

Green Bay

76—83

Buffalo

Buffalo by 7 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Green BayTEAM STATBuffalo

24-47FG25-47

51.0%FG%53.0%

11-273PT6-16

41.0%3PT%38.0%

17-21FT27-41

81.0%FT%66.0%

27Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists10

11Turnovers7

3Steals6

2Blocks1

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caden Wilkins	F	24	7-9	6-8	2-2	3	1	0	0	22
Marcus Hall	F	35	3-7	1-5	9-10	5	7	0	1	16
Dontrell Hewlett	G	19	4-8	1-3	4-6	2	4	1	1	13
C.J. O'Hara	G	33	6-10	0-3	0-1	7	0	2	0	12
Mac Wrecke	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Rob Stroud	F	13	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Preston Ruedinger	G	35	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
LeBron Thomas	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Maruan Cicic	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Vukasin Todorovic	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ramel Bethea	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	30	9-13	0-2	3-6	4	4	1	0	21
Daniel Freitag	G	22	4-9	3-4	9-11	2	2	0	0	20
Tim Oboh	C	14	3-3	0-0	6-13	4	0	0	1	12
Ryan Sabol	G	30	2-7	1-5	4-4	1	1	1	0	9
Noah Batchelor	G	32	3-4	2-2	0-0	7	1	1	0	8
Angelo Brizzi	G	24	2-6	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	6
Kyle Jones	G	17	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	4
Mikhail Pocknett	F	13	1-2	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	0	3
Ezra McKenna	F	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

118.2Offensive Efficiency129.1

129.1Defensive Efficiency118.2

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

62.8%Effective FG%59.6%

66.7%True Shooting %62.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate10.9%

44.7%Free Throw Rate87.2%

57.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.