Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Arkansas State

68.5%Stephen F. Austin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStephen F. Austin -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEStephen F. Austin -217

Stephen F. Austin

28-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 74

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreStephen F. Austin 80

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricStephen F. Austin

57.7MMH Power Index60.1

113.1Offensive Efficiency114.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency99.4

7.8Net Efficiency14.9

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.8

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.7

73.3Tempo67.0

52.7%Effective FG%52.2%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate30.3%

5.8Average Margin10.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stephen F. Austin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStephen F. Austin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (114.3–113.1), defensive efficiency (99.4–105.3), net efficiency (14.9–7.8).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.8), recent form (15.2–4.7), shooting efficiency (52.7–52.2).

Final

Arkansas State

65—90

Stephen F. Austin

Stephen F. Austin by 25 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATStephen F. Austin

17-54FG34-70

31.0%FG%49.0%

5-273PT12-33

19.0%3PT%36.0%

26-33FT10-19

79.0%FT%53.0%

30Rebounds49

10Offensive Rebounds19

10Assists14

14Turnovers14

12Steals5

—Blocks8

19Fouls25

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Joey Chammaa	G	25	3-5	2-3	9-12	0	0	2	17
Jalen Hampton	G	22	3-5	1-2	2-2	3	2	2	9
Christian Harmon	G	21	2-9	1-8	3-4	1	2	3	8
Matt Hayman	G	17	3-8	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	7
Chudi Dioramma	F	17	3-6	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	7
TJ Caldwell	G	27	1-7	0-3	2-4	2	0	1	4
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	23	0-5	0-3	4-4	6	0	2	4
Royal Blue Smith	G	12	1-3	0-2	2-2	0	1	0	4
Aly Tounkara	F	18	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	3
Chandler Jackson	G	16	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	2	0	2
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Stephen F. Austin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keon Thompson	G	32	11-17	3-6	1-1	5	7	1	0	26
Lateef Patrick	G	24	6-12	2-4	3-5	0	2	1	0	17
Narit Chotikavanic	G	24	5-14	4-13	0-2	3	0	0	0	14
Jerald Colonel	F	28	3-6	0-0	3-4	11	1	1	6	9
Chrishawn Christmas	G	26	3-5	0-0	2-5	10	1	1	1	8
Kam Burton	G	15	2-7	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Marcus Scurry	G	4	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Ahamed Mohammed	G	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Gediminas Alisas	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tichyque Musaka	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Eltramon Smith Jr.	F	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Harris Dar	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryceson Melvin	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Green	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

88.0Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency88.0

-33.8Net Efficiency33.8

36.1%Effective FG%57.1%

46.6%True Shooting %56.9%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.9%

61.1%Free Throw Rate27.1%

50.0%3-Point Rate47.1%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Stephen F. Austin won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.