Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Georgia State

95.4%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -19.3

PROJECTED TOTAL143.1

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -2074

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 62

Projected Total143.1

Projected ScoreCincinnati 81

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricCincinnati

38.9MMH Power Index61.5

101.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

107.5Defensive Efficiency97.3

-6.2Net Efficiency8.0

-1.7Strength of Schedule5.1

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

69.5Tempo69.4

45.3%Effective FG%50.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

37.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–38.9), offensive efficiency (105.3–101.3), defensive efficiency (97.3–107.5), net efficiency (8.0–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.0), free throw rate (37.4–30.7).

Final

Georgia State

64—74

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 10 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATCincinnati

21-57FG25-62

37.0%FG%40.0%

6-203PT7-31

30.0%3PT%23.0%

16-18FT17-26

89.0%FT%65.0%

35Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists15

17Turnovers16

8Steals8

3Blocks3

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	35	6-15	2-7	12-12	3	4	2	0	26
Joah Chappelle	F	30	5-9	0-1	0-2	9	1	1	1	10
Micah Tucker	G	22	3-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	9
Isaiah Sherrard	F	25	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	2	0	5
Anthony Enoh	F	22	2-7	1-3	0-0	5	3	1	1	5
Ayouba Berthe	G	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Christian Beam	C	25	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	2
Malachi Brown	G	20	1-7	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
James Cooper	F	4	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Chris Jones	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baba Miller	F	30	8-9	1-1	7-10	11	1	1	3	24
Day Day Thomas	G	28	4-10	4-7	0-0	3	4	2	0	12
Moustapha Thiam	C	29	4-11	0-2	2-7	9	0	3	0	10
Sencire Harris	G	15	3-4	0-1	3-3	2	0	2	0	9
Kerr Kriisa	G	30	2-10	1-7	3-4	3	3	0	0	8
Shon Abaev	G	19	1-6	0-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Jalen Celestine	G	6	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Tyler McKinley	F	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Jordi Rodriguez	G	17	1-5	0-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Keyshuan Tillery	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

84.8Offensive Efficiency98.0

98.0Defensive Efficiency84.8

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

42.1%Effective FG%46.0%

48.8%True Shooting %49.8%

22.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

31.6%Free Throw Rate41.9%

35.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.76Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.