Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%Morehead State

84.0%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -525

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 72

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreWake Forest 83

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricWake Forest

47.3MMH Power Index57.6

110.8Offensive Efficiency112.4

110.0Defensive Efficiency109.7

0.8Net Efficiency2.7

-4.0Strength of Schedule7.2

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.9Tempo70.2

51.3%Effective FG%52.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate36.1%

0.5Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wake Forest HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWake Forest holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.6–47.3), offensive efficiency (112.4–110.8), defensive efficiency (109.7–110.0), net efficiency (2.7–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.1–-0.1), offensive rebounding (36.4–30.0), free throw rate (37.9–36.1).

Final

Morehead State

65—81

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 16 • 79.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATWake Forest

22-63FG28-70

35.0%FG%40.0%

7-313PT7-24

23.0%3PT%29.0%

14-17FT18-30

82.0%FT%60.0%

34Rebounds53

11Offensive Rebounds23

9Assists15

19Turnovers19

13Steals11

6Blocks6

26Fouls15

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
George Marshall	G	26	8-13	4-8	6-7	4	3	4	0	26
Josiah LeGree	G	18	4-8	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Chase Dawson	G	25	2-7	0-3	4-4	1	4	2	0	8
Anouar Mellouk	F	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	5	1	2	0	7
Tamaury Releford	C	22	2-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	3	2	6
Davion Cunningham	G	20	2-9	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Jon Carroll	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	3	2
Vince Dawson III	G	23	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Clayton Parker	F	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jacob Wilson	G	9	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juke Harris	G	31	10-15	3-5	6-10	9	1	2	1	29
Tre'Von Spillers	F	27	7-12	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	2	16
Sebastian Akins	G	25	6-13	2-5	1-2	7	5	3	0	15
Mekhi Mason	G	24	2-6	1-4	2-7	3	1	1	0	7
Marqus Marion	F	21	2-3	1-2	1-3	6	2	2	1	6
Myles Colvin	G	20	0-7	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Omaha Biliew	F	19	0-6	0-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Cooper Schwieger	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Nate Calmese	G	12	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	2
Jaylen Cross	F	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	0
Isaac Carr	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.7Possessions79.7

81.6Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency81.6

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

40.5%Effective FG%45.0%

45.7%True Shooting %48.1%

24.0%Turnover Rate23.7%

27.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

49.2%3-Point Rate34.3%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 79.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.