North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.5%North Carolina Central

98.5%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -26.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -6567

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 62

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreVirginia 88

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricVirginia

35.8MMH Power Index68.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency119.0

110.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

-5.3Net Efficiency17.2

-8.0Strength of Schedule5.2

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.5Tempo67.6

49.8%Effective FG%55.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-3.6Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–35.8), offensive efficiency (119.0–104.9), defensive efficiency (101.8–110.2), net efficiency (17.2–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.7–33.2).

Final

North Carolina Central

62—81

Virginia

Virginia by 19 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATVirginia

19-60FG28-61

32.0%FG%46.0%

6-143PT14-36

43.0%3PT%39.0%

18-22FT11-19

82.0%FT%58.0%

34Rebounds48

16Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists22

9Turnovers12

8Steals4

1Blocks11

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gage Lattimore	G	40	7-17	5-6	6-6	3	3	0	0	25
Khouri Carvey	F	33	4-13	1-1	7-10	11	4	2	1	16
Kyric Davis	G	16	3-7	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	8
Dionte Johnson	G	27	3-11	0-3	0-0	3	4	4	0	6
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	23	2-4	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	5
Ryan Archey	G	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jonathan Dunn	F	20	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tekao Carpenter	G	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Justin Edwards	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ramondo Battle II	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jae'Daun Slack	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	30	6-10	3-4	5-6	5	2	0	0	20
Malik Thomas	G	25	5-12	2-8	0-0	3	6	0	0	12
Ugonna Onyenso	C	20	4-6	0-1	2-3	7	0	0	2	10
Sam Lewis	G	14	3-7	3-6	1-2	3	0	0	0	10
Chance Mallory	G	24	2-4	2-3	3-7	5	4	2	0	9
Jacari White	G	17	3-6	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Johann Grunloh	C	25	2-5	0-2	0-0	11	1	2	7	4
Dallin Hall	G	27	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	7	0	0	3
Elijah Gertrude	G	12	1-3	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Martin Carrere	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Carter Lang	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Odom	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Desmond Roberts	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

98.7Offensive Efficiency129.0

129.0Defensive Efficiency98.7

-30.3Net Efficiency30.3

36.7%Effective FG%57.4%

44.0%True Shooting %57.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.3%

36.7%Free Throw Rate31.1%

23.3%3-Point Rate59.0%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Virginia won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.