Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.1%Mississippi Valley State

98.9%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -29.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -8991

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 64

Projected Total158.6

Projected ScoreMurray State 94

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricMurray State

17.7MMH Power Index53.6

91.1Offensive Efficiency115.0

117.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-26.7Net Efficiency4.0

-4.1Strength of Schedule3.5

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.5Tempo72.3

45.8%Effective FG%54.0%

21.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

34.5%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-18.8Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–17.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.0–117.8), net efficiency (4.0–-26.7).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

60—108

Murray State

Murray State by 48 • 77.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATMurray State

19-60FG38-79

32.0%FG%48.0%

4-153PT15-43

27.0%3PT%35.0%

18-21FT17-25

86.0%FT%68.0%

42Rebounds46

15Offensive Rebounds19

7Assists27

23Turnovers5

4Steals11

5Blocks3

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Mayfield	F	34	5-18	2-4	5-5	7	1	0	2	17
Michael James	G	40	4-12	1-5	5-5	6	2	0	0	14
Patrick Punch	G	30	2-9	0-3	7-9	2	2	1	1	11
Samuel Murray	F	19	3-8	0-0	0-0	10	2	0	0	6
Delkedric Holmes	G	19	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Mussa Mzein	C	24	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	3
Tyrone Iroghama	G	11	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Lamont Sams	F	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chance Sutton	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Shorter	G	20	5-15	5-15	0-0	4	2	1	0	15
Fred King	C	14	5-5	0-0	3-7	6	1	1	1	13
Roman Domon	G	21	4-6	1-2	3-5	6	4	2	0	12
Mason Miller	F	20	2-8	1-6	7-8	8	2	0	0	12
Mathis Courbon	G	17	5-9	2-4	0-0	0	2	2	0	12
KJ Tenner	G	21	4-6	1-2	1-2	3	6	2	0	10
JJ Traynor	F	19	4-8	0-1	1-1	2	1	1	0	9
Javon Jackson	G	23	3-10	2-5	0-0	0	3	1	0	8
Layne Taylor	G	19	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	5	1	0	8
Brock Vice	F	9	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Dylan Anderson	C	17	1-3	0-2	2-2	7	1	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

77.5Possessions77.5

77.4Offensive Efficiency139.4

139.4Defensive Efficiency77.4

-61.9Net Efficiency61.9

35.0%Effective FG%57.6%

42.9%True Shooting %59.4%

29.5%Turnover Rate6.5%

35.0%Free Throw Rate31.6%

25.0%3-Point Rate54.4%

0.30Assist / Turnover5.40

Game Summary

Murray State won by 48 points. The game played at approximately 77.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.