VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%VCU

62.5%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -167

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 75

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Team Comparison

VCUMetricUtah State

65.7MMH Power Index65.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

103.3Defensive Efficiency103.1

13.1Net Efficiency16.6

5.4Strength of Schedule3.5

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

69.5Tempo68.6

53.7%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

9.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.7–116.4), defensive efficiency (103.1–103.3), net efficiency (16.6–13.1), shooting efficiency (56.9–53.7).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–3.5), recent form (6.0–0.3), free throw rate (42.9–39.1).

Final

VCU

77—80

Utah State

Utah State by 3 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATUtah State

25-60FG28-58

42.0%FG%48.0%

11-303PT6-13

37.0%3PT%46.0%

16-28FT18-26

57.0%FT%69.0%

36Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists18

19Turnovers18

9Steals14

8Blocks5

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nyk Lewis	G	29	7-13	4-9	1-1	2	0	2	0	19
Jadrian Tracey	G	25	5-10	3-7	3-9	3	3	1	1	16
Ahmad Nowell	G	11	2-6	1-4	7-8	1	0	0	0	12
Tyrell Ward	G	13	3-3	1-1	4-8	2	0	1	0	11
Brandon Jennings	G	22	3-6	0-0	1-2	1	2	2	0	7
Barry Evans	F	31	2-10	1-2	0-0	8	6	1	1	5
Michael Belle	F	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	16	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Christian Fermin	F	20	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	4	0
Lazar Djokovic	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	1	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	34	8-15	2-5	4-4	3	1	0	0	22
Mason Falslev	G	26	7-13	3-5	1-3	4	1	3	0	18
Garry Clark	F	27	4-6	0-0	3-5	14	0	0	1	11
Karson Templin	F	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	2	1	3	3	8
Drake Allen	G	28	1-4	0-1	5-6	2	9	6	1	7
Elijah Perryman	G	20	2-6	0-0	2-4	1	3	1	0	6
Zach Keller	F	22	1-6	0-1	3-4	3	1	1	0	5
Tucker Anderson	F	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Kolby King	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

100.8Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency100.8

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

50.8%Effective FG%53.4%

52.5%True Shooting %56.9%

24.3%Turnover Rate24.2%

46.7%Free Throw Rate44.8%

50.0%3-Point Rate22.4%

0.74Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Utah State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.