Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Idaho State

45.7%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -119

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 77

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreSan Diego 77

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSan Diego

45.9MMH Power Index39.8

111.0Offensive Efficiency106.2

113.4Defensive Efficiency111.1

-2.4Net Efficiency-4.9

0.2Strength of Schedule-1.2

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

67.1Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%52.0%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-1.6Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–39.8), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.2), net efficiency (-2.4–-4.9), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.2).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.1–113.4).

Final

Idaho State

71—68

San Diego

Idaho State by 3 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSan Diego

25-57FG25-59

44.0%FG%42.0%

9-243PT8-19

38.0%3PT%42.0%

12-19FT10-14

63.0%FT%71.0%

36Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists14

10Turnovers10

5Steals6

6Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	36	7-16	4-9	0-2	7	3	2	1	18
Gus Etchison	PG	18	5-11	3-5	2-2	3	3	1	1	15
Caleb Van De Griend	F	26	4-8	0-0	5-8	6	0	0	1	13
Jamison Guerra	PG	22	2-5	1-2	1-2	3	1	0	1	6
Evan Otten	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Cheikh Sow	G	35	1-4	0-2	3-3	2	0	1	1	5
Lachlan Brewer	G	24	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Quin Patterson	G	21	1-4	1-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juanse Gorosito	G	37	6-14	2-3	1-2	5	5	1	0	15
Toneari Lane	G	24	4-9	3-7	0-0	1	0	2	0	11
Adrian McIntyre	G	20	5-8	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	11
Dominique Ford	G	27	2-7	0-2	5-6	5	0	0	0	9
Tim Moore Jr.	F	16	3-4	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	1	8
Assane Diop	F	16	2-8	0-1	2-2	4	1	0	1	6
Vuk Boskovic	F	18	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
D'Arrae Goodwin	F	27	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Piotr Winkowski	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	0
Caleb Versher	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Benjamin	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

112.0Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency112.0

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

51.8%Effective FG%49.2%

53.8%True Shooting %51.8%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.7%

33.3%Free Throw Rate23.7%

42.1%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.