California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%California Baptist

62.7%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -168

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 69

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 74

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricUC Irvine

58.3MMH Power Index58.4

106.5Offensive Efficiency106.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency95.0

7.5Net Efficiency11.9

1.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

68.2Tempo72.3

48.8%Effective FG%50.7%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

37.0%Free Throw Rate36.5%

5.1Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–58.3), offensive efficiency (106.9–106.5), defensive efficiency (95.0–99.0), net efficiency (11.9–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-1.0), recent form (11.0–10.0), offensive rebounding (37.0–33.1).

Final

California Baptist

69—61

UC Irvine

California Baptist by 8 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATUC Irvine

26-66FG21-62

39.0%FG%34.0%

7-203PT6-18

35.0%3PT%33.0%

10-15FT13-23

67.0%FT%57.0%

55Rebounds32

19Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists11

17Turnovers10

7Steals6

3Blocks10

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martel Williams	G	33	6-15	3-4	2-2	7	1	2	0	17
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	39	7-17	2-6	0-0	3	7	1	0	16
Jonathan Griman	F	24	3-5	0-0	4-6	10	0	1	0	10
Jayden Jackson	G	35	2-10	0-4	2-3	3	2	3	1	6
Bradey Henige	F	22	3-7	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	1	6
Devon Malcolm	F	11	2-4	1-2	1-2	6	0	0	1	6
Thomas Ndong	F	21	2-5	0-2	1-2	12	2	0	0	5
Monty Bowser	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jordan Muller	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	25	7-15	1-3	1-1	5	1	1	0	16
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	23	4-9	4-5	4-6	1	1	2	0	16
Derin Saran	G	36	2-11	0-1	5-10	8	4	0	0	9
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	17	3-8	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	2	7
Harrison Carrington	F	13	2-6	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	6
Kyle Evans	F	26	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	4	4
Tama Isaac	G	32	1-6	1-3	0-0	5	4	1	0	3
Elijah Chol	F	17	0-5	0-3	0-2	2	1	0	4	0
Ben Egbo	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nes Emeneke	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

96.5Offensive Efficiency85.3

85.3Defensive Efficiency96.5

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

44.7%Effective FG%38.7%

47.2%True Shooting %41.8%

23.9%Turnover Rate13.9%

22.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

30.3%3-Point Rate29.0%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.