Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Penn State

54.4%New Haven

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Haven -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL142.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Haven -119

New Haven

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Projected Total142.0

Projected ScoreNew Haven 73

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricNew Haven

42.3MMH Power Index39.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency101.1

117.6Defensive Efficiency103.2

-8.4Net Efficiency-2.1

5.3Strength of Schedule-6.8

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

67.5Tempo64.2

53.4%Effective FG%50.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

34.6%Free Throw Rate31.8%

-5.7Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–39.3), offensive efficiency (109.2–101.1), strength of schedule (5.3–-6.8), shooting efficiency (53.4–50.4).

New Haven COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–117.6), net efficiency (-2.1–-8.4), recent form (2.7–-20.8).

Final

Penn State

87—43

New Haven

Penn State by 44 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATNew Haven

32-61FG17-45

52.0%FG%38.0%

11-253PT4-19

44.0%3PT%21.0%

12-16FT5-8

75.0%FT%63.0%

36Rebounds24

12Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists9

6Turnovers19

7Steals2

—Blocks2

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dominick Stewart	G	22	6-8	6-8	0-0	2	2	1	18
Kayden Mingo	G	28	7-13	2-5	0-1	6	6	1	16
Josh Reed	F	20	4-9	1-5	5-5	4	2	1	14
Freddie Dilione V	G	27	4-8	0-1	3-4	7	2	1	11
Melih Tunca	G	25	3-5	0-1	4-6	2	2	1	10
Eli Rice	G	16	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	6
Tibor Mirtic	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	4
Ivan Juric	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	4
Saša Ciani	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	2
Mason Blackwood	F	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	2
Chris Lotito	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Justin Houser	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	35	5-13	1-6	3-4	2	2	1	0	14
Andre Pasha	F	31	3-5	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	7
Vere Anthony	G	20	2-5	0-0	2-4	3	1	1	0	6
Stefano Faloppa	F	25	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Najimi George	G	25	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	5
Maison Adeleye	G	16	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Dior Kennedy	G	2	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Zoumana Traore	G	20	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Teshaun Steele	G	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Aidan Losiewicz	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyle Kearson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kheni Briggs	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

139.9Offensive Efficiency69.1

69.1Defensive Efficiency139.9

70.7Net Efficiency-70.7

61.5%Effective FG%42.2%

63.4%True Shooting %44.1%

9.6%Turnover Rate30.7%

26.2%Free Throw Rate17.8%

41.0%3-Point Rate42.2%

2.83Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Penn State won by 44 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.