Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Texas State

48.5%Tulane

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTulane -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -106

Tulane

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 74

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreTulane 74

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricTulane

49.4MMH Power Index44.3

107.7Offensive Efficiency105.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency109.9

4.3Net Efficiency-4.6

-4.7Strength of Schedule2.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.3

68.6Tempo68.7

51.3%Effective FG%49.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %22.8%

36.0%Free Throw Rate44.8%

2.9Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–44.3), offensive efficiency (107.7–105.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.9), net efficiency (4.3–-4.6).

Tulane COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.7–-4.7), ball security (15.6–18.4), free throw rate (44.8–36.0).

Final

Texas State

71—79

Tulane

Tulane by 8 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATTulane

26-60FG20-47

43.0%FG%43.0%

8-163PT9-20

50.0%3PT%45.0%

11-13FT30-30

85.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists16

11Turnovers11

7Steals7

5Blocks9

24Fouls14

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	28	5-10	0-1	4-5	7	3	1	1	14
Makai Willis	C	20	5-10	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	12
Mark Drone	G	30	4-9	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Franck Emmou	G	28	3-8	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	1	10
Kaden Gumbs	G	33	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	7	3	0	9
Jaelyn Lee	G	13	3-4	2-2	0-0	0	0	2	1	8
Dimp Pernell	G	18	1-6	1-2	2-2	4	2	1	0	5
Tay Knox	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Robert Fields	C	13	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Jalen Bolden	G	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Tulane

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rowan Brumbaugh	G	37	5-9	4-6	19-19	4	6	1	0	33
Tyler Ringgold	F	28	5-11	1-3	3-3	7	3	1	1	14
KJ Greene	G	18	3-5	1-2	4-4	0	1	2	0	11
Scotty Middleton	F	27	3-6	2-4	2-2	4	0	0	3	10
Josiah Moore	G	26	2-5	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	6
Asher Woods	G	22	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	23	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Percy Daniels	C	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	2	0
Davion Bradford	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

106.3Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency106.3

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

50.0%Effective FG%52.1%

53.6%True Shooting %64.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

21.7%Free Throw Rate63.8%

26.7%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Tulane won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.