UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%UMBC

64.5%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -182

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 68

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreDayton 73

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricDayton

59.1MMH Power Index59.9

113.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

99.0Defensive Efficiency101.5

14.0Net Efficiency7.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule5.7

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

65.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%52.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.1%Free Throw Rate47.6%

9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.5), net efficiency (14.0–7.0), recent form (24.7–6.4).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.9–59.1), strength of schedule (5.7–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.2).

Final

UMBC

71—77

Dayton

Dayton by 6 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATDayton

26-58FG26-51

45.0%FG%51.0%

11-263PT6-19

42.0%3PT%32.0%

8-10FT19-24

80.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists15

15Turnovers9

5Steals10

3Blocks4

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	23	6-7	4-4	0-0	6	1	0	0	16
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	34	5-8	3-6	2-2	2	3	2	1	15
Jah'Likai King	G	36	4-16	2-9	4-6	5	1	1	1	14
Ace Valentine	G	33	4-11	2-6	2-2	4	4	0	0	12
Daylon Dickerson	F	28	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	10
Tim Eze	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Devin Ceaser	G	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Riley Jacobs	F	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Paul Greene	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	36	5-12	1-3	5-6	3	7	1	0	16
Keonte Jones	G	37	5-5	2-2	0-0	3	1	5	2	12
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	33	4-10	1-5	2-2	6	2	2	1	11
Amaël L'Etang	F	21	3-7	1-2	4-4	6	1	0	0	11
Jacob Conner	F	16	4-6	1-3	1-1	2	0	0	0	10
Jaiun Simon	F	19	2-3	0-0	3-5	2	1	2	0	7
Jordan Derkack	G	21	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	0	5
Bryce Heard	G	13	1-3	0-2	3-4	1	1	0	0	5
Malcolm Thomas	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

107.4Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency107.4

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

54.3%Effective FG%56.9%

56.6%True Shooting %61.7%

22.5%Turnover Rate13.8%

17.2%Free Throw Rate47.1%

44.8%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.87Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Dayton won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.