Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.4%Austin Peay

4.6%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -19.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -2074

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 85

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreAir Force 65

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricAir Force

54.8MMH Power Index23

115.0Offensive Efficiency91.3

103.1Defensive Efficiency118.5

11.9Net Efficiency-27.2

-5.8Strength of Schedule6.2

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

71.0Tempo67.4

53.9%Effective FG%49.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.9%

8.4Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–23.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.1–118.5), net efficiency (11.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-5.8).

Final

Austin Peay

74—54

Air Force

Austin Peay by 20 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATAir Force

25-52FG19-52

48.0%FG%37.0%

7-233PT8-26

30.0%3PT%31.0%

17-29FT8-24

59.0%FT%33.0%

35Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists11

17Turnovers22

13Steals10

2Blocks2

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tate McCubbin	G	28	6-10	3-6	4-6	4	5	4	0	19
Anton Brookshire	PG	24	5-10	4-7	2-2	2	0	1	0	16
Zyree Collins	PG	17	3-6	0-3	8-10	0	2	0	0	14
Collin Parker	F	24	3-5	0-1	1-4	4	2	3	1	7
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	3	0	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Creighton Morisch	F	19	1-5	0-2	0-4	4	0	0	0	2
Matt Enright	PG	19	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	5	1	0	2
Quan Lax	PG	13	1-5	0-1	0-1	0	1	1	0	2
Travis Torain	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Tyler Wagner	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Terrell Gaines	PG	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Greenberg	G	31	7-12	6-10	1-3	2	0	1	0	21
Wesley Celichowski	C	34	4-9	1-4	1-8	6	2	2	0	10
Eli Robinson	F	33	3-6	0-2	3-4	10	2	4	1	9
Kam Sanders	G	34	2-10	1-6	3-4	5	2	2	0	8
Kyle Marshall	G	18	2-4	0-0	0-3	4	1	1	0	4
Lucas Hobin	F	17	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Caleb Walker	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Josh Gatete	F	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Kolby Gilles	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
A.J. Patterson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Justin Hinds	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

103.4Offensive Efficiency75.4

75.4Defensive Efficiency103.4

27.9Net Efficiency-27.9

54.8%Effective FG%44.2%

56.3%True Shooting %42.6%

23.4%Turnover Rate31.3%

55.8%Free Throw Rate46.2%

44.2%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.88Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.