Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Long Beach State

76.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -326

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 71

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreFresno State 80

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricFresno State

41.1MMH Power Index47.1

103.8Offensive Efficiency104.9

107.8Defensive Efficiency104.9

-4.0Net Efficiency0.0

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.5

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

72.2Tempo69.4

51.5%Effective FG%51.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-2.9Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–41.1), offensive efficiency (104.9–103.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.8), net efficiency (0.0–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.5–51.3), ball security (17.7–18.2).

Final

Long Beach State

62—82

Fresno State

Fresno State by 20 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATFresno State

20-53FG26-52

38.0%FG%50.0%

4-213PT9-23

19.0%3PT%39.0%

18-23FT21-28

78.0%FT%75.0%

26Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists14

16Turnovers16

4Steals9

1Blocks3

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Sykes	G	25	4-9	1-5	2-2	5	1	0	0	11
Isaiah Lewis	G	30	1-6	0-3	8-10	3	1	1	0	10
Rob Diaz III	G	21	3-7	1-1	3-4	2	0	1	0	10
Petar Majstorovic	F	29	4-10	0-5	1-2	6	2	0	0	9
Shaquil Bender	G	21	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Dallas Washington	F	25	2-8	1-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Leopold Levillain	F	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Cole Farrell	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Christian Jones	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	36	8-13	2-5	6-6	2	3	2	0	24
Zaon Collins	G	31	4-7	0-1	4-7	4	5	2	0	12
Wilson Jacques	C	30	4-7	0-0	4-5	13	1	2	1	12
Cameron Faas	G	26	3-8	3-8	0-0	4	0	1	1	9
Gasper Kocevar	C	17	1-2	1-2	4-6	2	1	0	1	7
DeShawn Gory	F	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jac Mani	F	7	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
DJ Stickman	G	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	3	2	0	4
Bastien Rieber	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Makhan Diouf	F	6	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
Matteo Porto	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Troy Jenkins	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

86.6Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency86.6

-27.9Net Efficiency27.9

41.5%Effective FG%58.7%

48.5%True Shooting %62.8%

22.2%Turnover Rate22.4%

43.4%Free Throw Rate53.8%

39.6%3-Point Rate44.2%

0.44Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.