Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.8%Tennessee State

77.2%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -339

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 75

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreBelmont 84

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricBelmont

55.4MMH Power Index61.8

110.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

102.7Defensive Efficiency103.7

8.2Net Efficiency14.9

-3.1Strength of Schedule-0.2

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

72.4Tempo70.7

50.9%Effective FG%60.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

34.7%Free Throw Rate32.7%

5.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.9), net efficiency (14.9–8.2), strength of schedule (-0.2–-3.1).

Tennessee State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–103.7), recent form (13.7–10.0), ball security (17.0–17.8).

Final

Tennessee State

79—87

Belmont

Belmont by 8 • 81.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATBelmont

27-77FG30-57

35.0%FG%53.0%

8-273PT5-20

30.0%3PT%25.0%

17-20FT22-33

85.0%FT%67.0%

44Rebounds42

19Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists18

13Turnovers17

12Steals6

3Blocks6

28Fouls15

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Harris	G	32	8-21	3-6	2-2	7	1	2	0	21
Travis Harper II	G	34	4-9	2-6	5-6	3	2	0	1	15
Aaron Nkrumah	G	29	4-13	1-4	5-6	5	0	4	0	14
Khalil London	G	28	4-16	2-8	4-4	0	1	0	0	14
Antoine Lorick III	F	20	3-7	0-1	0-0	5	2	3	1	6
Jalen Pitre	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	11	1	2	0	4
Carlous Williams	F	15	1-7	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	1	3
Jabrion Spikes	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
JC Brooks	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Scharnowski	F	20	6-7	0-0	5-9	7	1	0	1	17
Sam Orme	F	30	6-11	0-3	2-3	8	2	0	2	14
Tyler Lundblade	G	30	4-10	4-9	2-3	2	1	1	0	14
Brigham Rogers	F	14	5-6	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	12
Jabez Jenkins	G	31	3-8	0-3	5-6	5	2	2	2	11
Nic McClain	G	29	2-7	0-3	3-4	6	8	3	0	7
Isaiah West	G	11	1-2	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	0	5
Eoin Dillon	F	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Aidan Noyes	F	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Win Miller	G	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Jack Smiley	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.1Possessions81.1

97.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency97.4

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

40.3%Effective FG%57.0%

45.7%True Shooting %59.9%

16.1%Turnover Rate20.8%

26.0%Free Throw Rate57.9%

35.1%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Belmont won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 81.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.