Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.3%Houston Christian

88.7%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -785

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 64

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricUC San Diego

39.5MMH Power Index53.4

102.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

110.3Defensive Efficiency100.7

-7.8Net Efficiency7.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.3

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

65.4Tempo69.8

49.9%Effective FG%53.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-5.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–39.5), offensive efficiency (108.4–102.5), defensive efficiency (100.7–110.3), net efficiency (7.7–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (30.5–26.9), free throw rate (37.1–33.2).

Final

Houston Christian

60—78

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 18 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATUC San Diego

24-55FG29-58

44.0%FG%50.0%

7-223PT10-26

32.0%3PT%38.0%

5-14FT10-13

36.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds38

7Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists18

16Turnovers12

8Steals9

5Blocks1

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
D'Aundre Samuels	G	17	5-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	3	0	12
Demarco Bethea	F	23	4-5	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	10
Kylin Green	G	27	4-7	0-1	1-3	4	1	0	0	9
Mambourou Mara	F	29	3-10	1-6	0-0	5	3	1	1	7
Obadiah Curtis	G	13	2-5	2-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Ryan Bartley	G	27	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Nehikhare Igiehon	F	10	2-4	0-0	0-3	0	0	0	0	4
Trent Johnson	F	27	1-7	1-5	0-0	1	4	1	1	3
Demari Williams	G	10	1-4	0-1	1-2	2	0	2	0	3
Caleb Gaston	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ahjany Lee	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0
Bryson Monroe	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tom Beattie	G	31	7-12	2-5	2-3	6	4	2	0	18
Alex Chaikin	G	23	3-11	2-7	2-2	5	2	0	0	10
Emanuel Prospere II	G	21	4-6	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	1	9
Cade Pendleton	F	16	3-4	3-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	9
Jaden Vance	F	12	4-4	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Leo Beath	F	26	3-9	0-2	1-2	3	3	1	0	7
Hudson Mayes	G	15	3-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	1	0	7
Aidan Burke	G	24	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	6
Bol Dengdit	F	17	0-3	0-2	3-4	2	3	1	0	3
Ryder Elisaldez	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Trap Johnson	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

86.3Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency86.3

-25.9Net Efficiency25.9

50.0%Effective FG%58.6%

48.7%True Shooting %60.8%

22.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.5%Free Throw Rate22.4%

40.0%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.