Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Cal Poly

74.2%Seattle U

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSeattle U -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESeattle U -288

Seattle U

21-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 73

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreSeattle U 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricSeattle U

46.5MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

-3.8Net Efficiency7.0

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

76.6Tempo69.4

52.2%Effective FG%50.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-2.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Seattle U HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSeattle U holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (96.9–111.0), net efficiency (7.0–-3.8), recent form (4.1–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–103.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.7), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.8).

Final

Cal Poly

73—71

Seattle U

Cal Poly by 2 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATSeattle U

23-58FG29-63

40.0%FG%46.0%

11-333PT8-29

33.0%3PT%28.0%

16-22FT5-14

73.0%FT%36.0%

39Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists14

23Turnovers17

7Steals9

3Blocks7

18Fouls25

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	32	5-11	0-3	8-10	8	1	1	0	18
Guzman Vasilic	G	27	5-9	4-6	1-2	5	4	0	0	15
Jake Davis	G	35	2-9	1-7	4-5	4	1	2	1	9
Cayden Ward	G	31	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	0	1	0	8
Kieran Elliott	G	21	2-8	1-4	2-2	4	2	0	0	7
Troy Plumtree	F	13	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Ali Assran	F	16	2-3	1-2	0-1	2	0	1	2	5
Austin Goode	F	21	1-4	1-3	1-2	1	1	2	0	4
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Scott	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Seattle U

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Heimbrodt	F	28	8-13	2-5	2-4	2	3	1	5	20
Brayden Maldonado	G	32	7-14	3-9	0-0	5	1	2	0	17
Jojo Murphy	G	18	4-7	1-4	0-1	4	0	1	0	9
Junseok Yeo	F	31	3-9	0-4	0-1	5	4	0	1	6
Austin Maurer	C	15	2-5	1-1	0-2	4	1	1	1	5
Maleek Arington	G	28	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	4	3	0	4
Miles Amos	G	21	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	4
John Christofilis	G	13	1-8	1-6	1-2	1	1	1	0	4
Brock Felder	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Houran Dan	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

95.9Offensive Efficiency93.3

93.3Defensive Efficiency95.9

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

49.1%Effective FG%52.4%

53.3%True Shooting %51.0%

29.7%Turnover Rate22.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate22.2%

56.9%3-Point Rate46.0%

0.39Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.