Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%Cal State Fullerton

78.6%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -367

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 76

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia 86

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCalifornia

49.4MMH Power Index56.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency111.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

1.7Net Efficiency7.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule2.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.3Tempo69.9

52.6%Effective FG%52.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.8%

1.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–49.4), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.8), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.7–1.8), free throw rate (39.6–36.8).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

65—93

California

California by 28 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCalifornia

27-69FG28-68

39.0%FG%41.0%

6-293PT11-30

21.0%3PT%37.0%

5-11FT26-30

45.0%FT%87.0%

42Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists17

14Turnovers8

1Steals6

3Blocks4

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Landon Seaman	F	26	9-14	1-3	1-3	4	1	0	2	20
Joshua Ward	G	31	5-11	1-5	1-2	8	2	0	1	12
Kendrick De Luna	F	13	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	29	3-13	1-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	7
KJ Garris	G	16	2-7	2-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jaden Henderson	G	13	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Davis White	G	19	1-6	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	3
Bailey Nunn	G	24	0-1	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	2
Christian Williams	G	15	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Bryce Cofield	G	13	0-0	0-0	1-4	3	1	0	0	1
Ben Winker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dai Dai Ames	G	34	7-14	6-7	4-4	3	3	1	0	24
John Camden	F	28	6-15	3-10	1-1	2	1	1	0	16
Chris Bell	F	28	4-13	1-5	6-6	7	1	0	0	15
Justin Pippen	G	29	2-8	1-3	9-11	9	6	2	1	14
Lee Dort	F	24	2-3	0-0	3-4	8	3	0	2	7
Milos Ilic	C	14	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Rytis Petraitis	F	17	2-5	0-1	1-2	5	1	1	1	5
Mantas Kocanas	C	2	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Nolan Dorsey	G	21	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Butler	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
BJ Fisher	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

84.1Offensive Efficiency120.3

120.3Defensive Efficiency84.1

-36.2Net Efficiency36.2

43.5%Effective FG%49.3%

43.8%True Shooting %56.5%

18.4%Turnover Rate10.2%

15.9%Free Throw Rate44.1%

42.0%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.07Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

California won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.