Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Northwestern State

44.9%North Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -123

North Alabama

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 71

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 70

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricNorth Alabama

41.3MMH Power Index34.9

104.0Offensive Efficiency104.4

109.0Defensive Efficiency116.7

-5.0Net Efficiency-12.3

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

63.6Tempo66.5

49.5%Effective FG%48.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-3.2Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–34.9), defensive efficiency (109.0–116.7), net efficiency (-5.0–-12.3), recent form (-4.9–-16.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.4–104.0), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.6), ball security (17.2–17.6).

Final

Northwestern State

83—87

North Alabama

North Alabama by 4 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATNorth Alabama

27-56FG28-58

48.0%FG%48.0%

5-153PT6-17

33.0%3PT%35.0%

24-29FT25-37

83.0%FT%68.0%

27Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists14

11Turnovers13

10Steals10

2Blocks4

29Fouls20

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	33	8-14	4-7	9-9	3	2	1	0	29
Izzy Miles	G	29	7-11	1-3	1-1	2	2	2	0	16
Chris Mubiru	G	30	5-9	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	1	10
Kordrick Turner	F	34	3-7	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	0	7
CJ Larry	PG	29	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	2	1	0	7
Justin Redmond	G	14	1-5	0-1	3-3	0	0	1	0	5
Chip Brunt	G	7	0-1	0-0	5-6	0	0	1	0	5
Moustapha Loum	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Omar Adegbola	G	8	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	2	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	0

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corneilous Williams	F	42	9-11	0-0	10-11	16	3	3	2	28
Donte Bacchus	F	41	2-6	0-0	12-19	14	4	2	1	16
Canin Jefferson	G	40	5-15	1-5	3-5	0	4	2	0	14
Kevin de Kovachich	G	32	6-10	2-4	0-1	1	1	1	0	14
Dallas Howell	F	39	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Tank Washington	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	1	1	2
Jamal Albritton	C	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
DarKaun King	F	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Braylon Patton	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cortez Graham-Howard	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kedar Bodie	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

111.1Offensive Efficiency116.5

116.5Defensive Efficiency111.1

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

52.7%Effective FG%53.4%

59.5%True Shooting %57.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

51.8%Free Throw Rate63.8%

26.8%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

North Alabama won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.