Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Toledo

57.9%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -138

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreWright State 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricWright State

58.8MMH Power Index57.1

116.0Offensive Efficiency116.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.5

6.4Net Efficiency9.9

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

69.8Tempo69.2

55.1%Effective FG%55.2%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

4.5Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (116.4–116.0), defensive efficiency (106.5–109.6), net efficiency (9.9–6.4), shooting efficiency (55.2–55.1).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.8–57.1), strength of schedule (2.3–-2.0), recent form (10.2–7.0).

Final

Toledo

81—71

Wright State

Toledo by 10 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATWright State

31-55FG26-47

56.0%FG%55.0%

5-103PT6-16

50.0%3PT%38.0%

14-19FT13-15

74.0%FT%87.0%

28Rebounds21

13Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists10

15Turnovers19

11Steals8

1Blocks5

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Craig	F	36	8-11	1-1	4-4	9	2	1	0	21
Sonny Wilson	G	37	8-14	1-1	0-1	7	4	2	0	17
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	28	5-9	1-3	4-4	5	1	2	0	15
Austin Parks	C	28	6-7	0-0	2-3	1	1	0	0	14
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	34	2-9	1-3	4-5	0	4	4	1	9
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	15	2-3	1-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	5
Mynor Strong	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Will James Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Ode	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Imariagbe	F	31	7-9	0-1	3-4	5	1	0	2	17
Michael Cooper	G	30	6-11	3-5	0-0	2	2	2	1	15
Dominic Pangonis	G	28	3-5	1-1	6-7	3	0	1	1	13
Solomon Callaghan	G	28	3-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
TJ Burch	G	13	3-6	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Bryan Etumnu	F	25	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	5
Sam Alamutu	G	16	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	2	0	4
Andrea Holden	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Logan Woods	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kellen Pickett	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

121.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency121.6

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

60.9%Effective FG%61.7%

63.3%True Shooting %65.6%

22.7%Turnover Rate28.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate31.9%

18.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Toledo won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.