Georgia Southern logo

Georgia Southern

21-16
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
38.9%Georgia Southern
61.1%Florida Gulf Coast
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -3.9
PROJECTED TOTAL160.9
MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -157
Florida Gulf Coast logo

Florida Gulf Coast

16-18
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 78
Projected Total160.9
Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 82

Team Comparison

49.1MMH Power Index48.6
112.3Offensive Efficiency110.5
110.6Defensive Efficiency109.2
1.7Net Efficiency1.3
-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.8
1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7
72.0Tempo70.0
52.1%Effective FG%52.1%
14.5%Turnover Rate15.7%
28.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%
39.5%Free Throw Rate29.9%
1.2Average Margin0.9
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
7–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–48.6), offensive efficiency (112.3–110.5), net efficiency (1.7–1.3), recent form (1.7–0.7).
Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.2–110.6), strength of schedule (-1.8–-2.2), offensive rebounding (32.3–28.6).
Final
Georgia Southern logo
Georgia Southern
95—94
Florida Gulf Coast logo
Florida Gulf Coast
Georgia Southern by 1 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATFlorida Gulf Coast
34-58FG39-83
59.0%FG%47.0%
15-333PT11-30
45.0%3PT%37.0%
12-18FT5-11
67.0%FT%45.0%
28Rebounds50
6Offensive Rebounds27
14Assists16
11Turnovers13
10Steals8
7Blocks—
12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Nakavieon WhiteF228-113-51-122200020
Spudd WebbG325-61-26-746110017
Tyren MooreG295-105-102-353100017
Alden ApplewhiteF184-53-40-321000011
Andres BurneyF215-50-00-050110010
Jefferson KoulibalyG254-130-51-22010009
Dwayne Williams JrG162-42-40-01010006
Khayri DunnG141-21-22-20100005
Shainen CarterF140-10-00-02015000
Tsvet SotirovF80-10-10-01120000
Jayden WilliamsG10-00-00-00000000
Florida Gulf Coast
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
J.R. KoniecznyF359-233-63-5133100024
Rahmir BarnoG349-142-41-457300021
Rory StewartF307-144-100-110200018
Darren WilliamsG325-132-81-142000013
Jordan EllerbeeG204-80-20-05100008
Michael DuaxF152-40-00-05010004
Isaiah MaloneF112-20-00-01010004
Tristen GuillouetteC131-30-00-06100002
Jack ReddickG60-20-00-00100000
Gabe TannerF40-00-00-01100000

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9
130.3Offensive Efficiency128.9
128.9Defensive Efficiency130.3
1.4Net Efficiency-1.4
71.6%Effective FG%53.6%
71.4%True Shooting %53.3%
15.4%Turnover Rate17.5%
31.0%Free Throw Rate13.3%
56.9%3-Point Rate36.1%
1.27Assist / Turnover1.23
Game Summary
Georgia Southern won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.