Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Dayton

66.5%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.1

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -199

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 68

Projected Total142.1

Projected ScoreCincinnati 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricCincinnati

59.9MMH Power Index61.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.0Net Efficiency8.0

5.7Strength of Schedule5.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

68.3Tempo69.4

52.0%Effective FG%50.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

4.8Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.0), recent form (14.4–6.4).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.5–105.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.1), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.6).

Final

Dayton

62—74

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 12 • 81.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATCincinnati

20-62FG21-45

32.0%FG%47.0%

2-263PT9-19

8.0%3PT%47.0%

20-27FT23-37

74.0%FT%62.0%

33Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists16

13Turnovers24

12Steals5

4Blocks7

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amaël L'Etang	F	29	4-11	1-6	5-6	8	0	1	1	14
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	29	5-8	0-2	3-4	8	2	3	1	13
Javon Bennett	G	38	3-15	1-10	5-5	2	1	0	0	12
Jordan Derkack	G	26	2-6	0-3	5-7	2	4	3	0	9
Keonte Jones	G	32	3-8	0-0	1-3	7	2	3	2	7
Jaiun Simon	F	15	1-6	0-2	1-2	1	0	2	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Bryce Heard	G	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malcolm Thomas	F	4	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	32	3-6	2-3	12-12	3	4	0	1	20
Shon Abaev	G	19	4-5	2-3	4-8	3	0	0	0	14
Kerr Kriisa	G	31	3-7	3-7	0-0	3	8	0	0	9
Baba Miller	F	31	4-9	0-2	0-4	10	1	1	2	8
Sencire Harris	G	18	1-6	0-1	6-8	5	2	1	0	8
Jalen Celestine	G	18	2-5	2-3	0-1	6	0	1	0	6
Moustapha Thiam	C	25	2-4	0-0	1-4	7	0	1	4	5
Tyler McKinley	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Jordi Rodriguez	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keyshuan Tillery	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Halvine Dzellat	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.2Possessions81.2

76.4Offensive Efficiency91.1

91.1Defensive Efficiency76.4

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

33.9%Effective FG%56.7%

41.4%True Shooting %59.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate29.8%

43.5%Free Throw Rate82.2%

41.9%3-Point Rate42.2%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 81.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.