Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Central Connecticut

64.3%Boston College

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston College -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBoston College -180

Boston College

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 69

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreBoston College 73

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricBoston College

44.4MMH Power Index45.1

111.4Offensive Efficiency100.0

107.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

4.4Net Efficiency-4.8

-7.7Strength of Schedule4.8

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

66.3Tempo67.4

54.0%Effective FG%47.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.9Average Margin-3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–100.0), net efficiency (4.4–-4.8), recent form (-0.5–-14.3), shooting efficiency (54.0–47.1).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.1–44.4), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.0), strength of schedule (4.8–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

60—59

Boston College

Central Connecticut by 1 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATBoston College

23-60FG22-67

38.0%FG%33.0%

8-223PT7-34

36.0%3PT%21.0%

6-10FT8-9

60.0%FT%89.0%

41Rebounds40

12Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists12

12Turnovers10

8Steals7

5Blocks6

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melo Sanchez	G	23	5-9	5-8	2-3	1	0	0	0	17
Darin Smith Jr.	F	32	6-13	1-5	1-1	5	0	1	0	14
Max Frazier	F	25	4-8	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	3	9
Gabe Spinelli	G	18	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Elijah Parker	G	13	2-6	0-1	1-2	3	0	5	0	5
Jay Rodgers	G	29	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	6	0	0	4
Jayden Mott	F	12	1-3	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
James Jones	G	28	1-6	0-1	0-0	5	3	0	1	2
Nico Ashley	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	1	0
Ja'Kobe Williams	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daniel James	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fred Payne	G	36	6-14	3-8	2-3	4	3	2	0	17
Donald Hand Jr.	G	33	5-19	1-12	0-0	4	1	0	0	11
Chase Forte	G	29	3-12	1-6	2-2	6	3	2	3	9
Jayden Hastings	F	22	3-4	0-0	2-2	8	3	2	1	8
Aidan Shaw	G	36	2-8	0-1	2-2	8	1	0	0	6
Luka Toews	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	3
Jason Asemota	F	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Boden Kapke	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Marko Radunovic	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Caleb Steger	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kany Tchanda	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

91.5Offensive Efficiency89.9

89.9Defensive Efficiency91.5

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

45.0%Effective FG%38.1%

46.3%True Shooting %41.4%

18.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

16.7%Free Throw Rate13.4%

36.7%3-Point Rate50.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.