Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Pennsylvania

65.8%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -192

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 80

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricProvidence

52.9MMH Power Index54.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

2.2Net Efficiency1.8

1.9Strength of Schedule4.0

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

69.9Tempo74.2

50.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.3%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.5Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–108.6), strength of schedule (4.0–1.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.9).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–113.2), net efficiency (2.2–1.8), recent form (2.3–-1.3).

Final

Pennsylvania

81—106

Providence

Providence by 25 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATProvidence

25-70FG36-67

36.0%FG%54.0%

12-283PT13-30

43.0%3PT%43.0%

19-24FT21-23

79.0%FT%91.0%

30Rebounds49

12Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists23

10Turnovers15

7Steals4

3Blocks4

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Zanoni	F	32	10-17	5-8	5-5	2	0	0	0	30
TJ Power	F	34	6-13	2-6	1-4	7	4	2	0	15
Ethan Roberts	F	33	4-16	3-7	4-5	4	4	1	0	15
Cam Thrower	G	15	1-5	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Jay Jones	G	5	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	3	0	4
AJ Levine	G	21	1-5	1-2	0-0	0	5	0	1	3
Augustus Gerhart	F	26	1-6	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	0	2
Dalton Scantlebury	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Michelangelo Oberti	C	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Alex Massung	G	3	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Niklas Polonowski	F	3	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Lucas Lueth	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Payton Kamin	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	26	6-9	4-5	4-4	3	2	1	0	20
Ryan Mela	G	28	8-10	2-4	0-0	12	4	0	0	18
Jason Edwards	G	26	3-9	2-6	6-6	4	4	1	0	14
Stefan Vaaks	G	26	4-12	2-6	4-4	3	5	1	1	14
Jaylin Sellers	G	21	4-9	1-4	3-3	5	4	0	0	12
Jamier Jones	F	23	4-8	0-0	3-5	6	2	0	0	11
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	19	4-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	3	8
Jaylen Harrell	G	8	2-4	2-4	1-1	1	1	1	0	7
Cole Hargrove	F	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Peteris Pinnis	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Williams	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

102.3Offensive Efficiency133.8

133.8Defensive Efficiency102.3

-31.6Net Efficiency31.6

44.3%Effective FG%63.4%

49.8%True Shooting %68.0%

12.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

34.3%Free Throw Rate34.3%

40.0%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Providence won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.