Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Cal State Northridge

81.9%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -452

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 74

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 85

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricNorth Dakota State

50MMH Power Index59

107.3Offensive Efficiency115.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

2.1Net Efficiency14.6

-0.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

75.9Tempo69.6

51.0%Effective FG%54.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.7%Free Throw Rate31.3%

1.6Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–50.0), offensive efficiency (115.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.8–105.2), net efficiency (14.6–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-4.6), offensive rebounding (32.9–32.0), free throw rate (34.7–31.3).

Final

Cal State Northridge

68—90

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 22 • 80.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

26-66FG30-76

39.0%FG%39.0%

5-183PT10-39

28.0%3PT%26.0%

11-16FT20-26

69.0%FT%77.0%

41Rebounds47

13Offensive Rebounds18

11Assists14

20Turnovers10

6Steals14

—Blocks9

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	36	6-13	3-8	3-3	2	0	1	18
Joshua O'Garro	G	26	5-11	0-2	3-5	6	2	2	13
Mahmoud Fofana	F	30	5-10	1-1	1-1	6	2	2	12
Josiah Davis	G	32	2-8	0-0	2-2	5	3	0	6
Aleks Szymczyk	C	23	3-4	0-0	0-1	8	1	0	6
Davius Loury	F	16	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	4
Jordan Brinson	G	11	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	4
James Evans Jr.	G	8	1-5	0-1	1-2	0	2	0	3
Grady Lewis	F	10	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Jai Chisolm	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0
Greg Gazarian	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	33	7-15	4-10	4-4	1	3	1	0	22
Andy Stefonowicz	G	35	5-13	3-9	4-4	4	5	3	0	17
Markhi Strickland	G	17	7-9	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	14
Noah Feddersen	F	28	3-4	0-1	7-10	7	1	0	6	13
Trevian Carson	G	28	4-11	0-4	0-2	11	2	6	0	8
Carson Smith	G	23	1-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Treyson Anderson	F	11	1-4	0-1	3-4	10	0	1	2	5
Tay Smith	G	12	1-11	1-9	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Riley Saunders	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Max Majerle	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Riley Massey	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Emil Skytta	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.5Possessions80.5

84.5Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency84.5

-27.3Net Efficiency27.3

43.2%Effective FG%46.1%

46.2%True Shooting %50.9%

24.8%Turnover Rate12.4%

24.2%Free Throw Rate34.2%

27.3%3-Point Rate51.3%

0.55Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 80.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.