Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%Western Illinois

77.0%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Bakersfield -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Bakersfield -335

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 71

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 79

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricCal State Bakersfield

25.9MMH Power Index32.2

96.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

113.9Defensive Efficiency112.6

-17.7Net Efficiency-12.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

67.5Tempo73.0

45.4%Effective FG%46.4%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

37.5%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-11.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Bakersfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Bakersfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (32.2–25.9), offensive efficiency (100.2–96.2), defensive efficiency (112.6–113.9), net efficiency (-12.4–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.6).

Final

Western Illinois

58—74

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 16 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

20-56FG26-59

36.0%FG%44.0%

8-163PT6-18

50.0%3PT%33.0%

10-18FT16-20

56.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists14

17Turnovers13

5Steals6

4Blocks13

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Francis Okwuosah	F	32	5-10	4-4	0-0	4	1	2	0	14
Isaiah Griffin	F	34	3-10	1-2	3-4	8	1	0	0	10
Tyran Cook	G	27	5-10	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	10
Lucas Lorenzen	G	31	2-9	0-4	4-4	0	0	1	0	8
Makai Kvamme	G	8	2-4	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Antwaun Massey	F	26	2-6	0-0	1-4	5	1	0	4	5
Marcus Pigram	G	17	1-5	1-3	2-4	1	0	1	0	5
Karyiek Dixon	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Nick Hittle	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Goanar Biliew	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ifiok Peter	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Edwards	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	31	5-11	2-3	6-6	9	3	0	1	18
Dailin Smith	G	29	4-12	1-6	4-6	0	1	0	1	13
Ronald Jessamy	F	21	5-6	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	6	12
Tom Mark	F	26	4-10	2-4	0-0	7	2	1	0	10
AJ George	G	27	2-6	1-2	2-4	4	1	1	2	7
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	3	4
Caleb McCarty	F	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Mike Price	G	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jaden Alexander	G	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kadar Waller	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Dylan Purnell	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Bentley Waller	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

86.4Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency86.4

-23.8Net Efficiency23.8

42.9%Effective FG%49.2%

44.9%True Shooting %54.0%

25.5%Turnover Rate19.3%

32.1%Free Throw Rate33.9%

28.6%3-Point Rate30.5%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.