UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.5%UC Santa Barbara

39.5%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -153

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 81

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricSacramento State

51.4MMH Power Index43

113.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency112.0

7.1Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.0Strength of Schedule0.9

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

68.5Tempo73.2

54.8%Effective FG%48.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate41.8%

4.8Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.0), net efficiency (7.1–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.0), ball security (14.2–18.7), free throw rate (41.8–37.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

92—87

Sacramento State

UC Santa Barbara by 5 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATSacramento State

30-63FG31-59

48.0%FG%53.0%

13-273PT10-21

48.0%3PT%48.0%

19-25FT15-23

76.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists18

8Turnovers12

9Steals6

1Blocks6

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miro Little	G	35	3-9	1-5	10-10	5	8	4	1	17
Aidan Mahaney	G	33	6-12	2-5	3-5	1	2	0	0	17
Colin Smith	F	30	5-8	5-7	2-2	7	2	2	0	17
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	6-13	2-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	14
CJ Shaw	G	12	3-5	1-2	2-4	0	0	0	0	9
Zion Sensley	G	15	2-5	2-5	1-2	7	2	1	0	7
Hosana Kitenge	F	21	2-7	0-0	1-2	5	2	1	0	5
Michael Simcoe	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Evans Kipruto	C	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Williams	G	39	10-16	4-7	6-8	2	5	1	1	30
Jeremiah Cherry	F	38	8-13	0-0	4-8	7	3	2	4	20
Prophet Johnson	G	37	7-11	3-4	0-0	11	6	1	1	17
Jahni Summers	G	27	3-9	1-5	3-4	2	1	2	0	10
Mark Lavrenov	F	12	3-3	2-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	8
Shaqir O'Neal	F	15	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Jayden Teat	G	18	0-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Brandon Gardner	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

125.3Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency125.3

6.8Net Efficiency-6.8

57.9%Effective FG%61.0%

61.4%True Shooting %62.2%

11.0%Turnover Rate16.2%

39.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

42.9%3-Point Rate35.6%

2.25Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.