Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Northern Kentucky

71.1%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -246

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 75

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 82

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricEast Tennessee State

53.9MMH Power Index57.4

114.9Offensive Efficiency115.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency102.8

7.8Net Efficiency12.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

72.3Tempo67.4

54.5%Effective FG%55.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

37.1%Free Throw Rate35.0%

5.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–53.9), offensive efficiency (115.1–114.9), defensive efficiency (102.8–107.1), net efficiency (12.3–7.8).

Northern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.6–3.7), offensive rebounding (33.0–28.8), free throw rate (37.1–35.0).

Final

Northern Kentucky

63—75

East Tennessee State

East Tennessee State by 12 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

23-63FG26-44

37.0%FG%59.0%

7-303PT4-9

23.0%3PT%44.0%

10-14FT19-27

71.0%FT%70.0%

35Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds3

11Assists13

18Turnovers18

12Steals13

4Blocks4

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Gherezgher	G	34	8-19	5-12	3-4	1	2	1	0	24
Donovan Oday	G	32	5-10	0-4	4-4	2	4	3	0	14
Kael Robinson	F	26	3-12	1-6	0-1	6	3	4	1	7
Tae Dozier	G	28	2-6	1-3	1-2	3	1	2	1	6
Ethan Elliott	G	19	3-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	0	4
Shawn Nelson	G	14	0-5	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
LJ Wells	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	0
Addison Archer	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Morris III	F	24	7-10	1-1	7-8	2	1	0	0	22
Brian Taylor II	G	36	7-12	2-4	4-8	9	2	2	0	20
Blake Barkley	F	34	5-5	0-0	3-3	6	1	2	0	13
Jordan McCullum	F	22	4-6	1-1	1-2	3	2	1	1	10
Maki Johnson	G	24	1-3	0-1	3-4	6	2	3	2	5
Jaylen Smith	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Brayden Crump	F	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Allen Strothers	G	27	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	4	4	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

87.1Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency87.1

-16.6Net Efficiency16.6

42.1%Effective FG%63.6%

45.2%True Shooting %66.0%

24.8%Turnover Rate25.1%

22.2%Free Throw Rate61.4%

47.6%3-Point Rate20.5%

0.61Assist / Turnover0.72

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.