UTSA

5-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.8%UTSA

93.2%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -17.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -1371

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUTSA 66

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreTexas State 83

Team Comparison

UTSAMetricTexas State

30.5MMH Power Index49.4

99.0Offensive Efficiency107.7

115.0Defensive Efficiency103.4

-16.0Net Efficiency4.3

-1.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

-17.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.2Tempo68.6

45.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

29.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-11.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–30.5), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.0), defensive efficiency (103.4–115.0), net efficiency (4.3–-16.0).

UTSA COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-4.7), ball security (17.0–18.4).

Final

UTSA

69—80

Texas State

Texas State by 11 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UTSATEAM STATTexas State

23-59FG28-67

39.0%FG%42.0%

7-263PT4-20

27.0%3PT%20.0%

16-22FT20-26

73.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds47

10Offensive Rebounds18

8Assists16

11Turnovers9

5Steals8

5Blocks6

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

UTSA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Simpson	G	32	6-14	4-8	6-7	4	0	0	0	22
Kaidon Rayfield	F	27	6-10	0-1	4-9	9	1	0	1	16
Brent Moss	G	22	4-9	2-6	2-2	1	0	3	0	12
Baboucarr Njie	F	34	4-8	0-0	3-3	4	1	0	2	11
Dorian Hayes	G	33	2-6	1-5	1-1	3	1	0	0	6
Pierce Spencer	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Austin Nunez	G	15	0-7	0-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Macaleab Rich	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Matheo Coffi	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Stanley Borden	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dimp Pernell	G	33	6-12	3-7	4-4	3	1	1	1	19
Kaden Gumbs	G	36	4-9	0-2	3-3	5	7	1	0	11
Franck Emmou	G	30	4-13	1-7	2-2	1	1	1	0	11
DJ Hall	F	26	2-6	0-0	7-8	10	4	1	0	11
Makai Willis	C	19	5-11	0-1	1-3	5	0	0	1	11
Robert Fields	C	20	4-7	0-0	1-2	11	2	0	2	9
Mark Drone	G	15	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Jalen Bolden	G	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	0	2
Jaelyn Lee	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Tay Knox	C	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	2	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

97.9Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency97.9

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

44.9%Effective FG%44.8%

49.7%True Shooting %50.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate38.8%

44.1%3-Point Rate29.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Texas State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.