Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.0%Middle Tennessee

14.0%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -614

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 78

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreEvansville 68

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricEvansville

52.5MMH Power Index31.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

105.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.9Net Efficiency-13.9

0.4Strength of Schedule1.8

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

68.8Tempo68.0

52.2%Effective FG%50.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate18.9%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

33.2%Free Throw Rate30.8%

2.7Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–31.6), offensive efficiency (109.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (105.7–112.4), net efficiency (3.9–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.4).

Final

Middle Tennessee

77—72

Evansville

Middle Tennessee by 5 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATEvansville

30-61FG26-54

49.0%FG%48.0%

7-263PT3-14

27.0%3PT%21.0%

10-17FT17-24

59.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists13

11Turnovers12

7Steals7

1Blocks1

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamari Lands	G	38	6-14	3-8	8-10	4	3	2	0	23
Jahvin Carter	G	27	7-15	2-7	2-4	4	2	2	0	18
Sean Smith	G	24	8-13	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	17
Chris Loofe	F	25	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	6
Torey Alston	F	21	3-6	0-1	0-2	6	1	0	0	6
Jarred Hall	F	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Tre Green	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Alec Oglesby	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
James Dent Jr.	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Turnbull	F	22	6-9	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	1	16
Bryce Quinet	G	30	4-9	0-1	6-9	4	1	3	0	14
Keishon Porter	G	25	6-9	0-1	2-4	6	0	1	0	14
AJ Casey	F	37	4-9	0-0	4-5	6	2	2	0	12
Joshua Hughes	F	30	5-6	2-3	0-0	7	3	0	0	12
Leif Moeller	G	34	1-6	1-4	1-2	2	5	0	0	4
Alex Hemenway	G	17	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trent Hundley	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

108.0Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency108.0

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

54.9%Effective FG%50.9%

55.7%True Shooting %55.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.9%Free Throw Rate44.4%

42.6%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.