UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%UC San Diego

45.2%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -121

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 74

Projected Total146.8

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricFresno State

53.4MMH Power Index47.1

108.4Offensive Efficiency104.9

100.7Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.7Net Efficiency0.0

-1.3Strength of Schedule1.5

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

69.8Tempo69.4

53.1%Effective FG%51.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.2%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

5.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.9), defensive efficiency (100.7–104.9), net efficiency (7.7–0.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.3), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.9), free throw rate (35.5–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

78—73

Fresno State

UC San Diego by 5 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATFresno State

30-60FG25-59

50.0%FG%42.0%

12-373PT7-23

32.0%3PT%30.0%

6-13FT16-21

46.0%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists12

18Turnovers14

6Steals9

5Blocks1

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leo Beath	F	32	8-13	5-10	1-2	7	2	1	0	22
Tom Beattie	G	36	6-10	1-5	0-1	5	2	0	0	13
Alex Chaikin	G	22	3-6	3-5	2-4	2	1	0	0	11
Emanuel Prospere II	G	28	4-7	0-2	1-3	5	4	4	1	9
Aidan Burke	G	28	3-8	1-6	1-2	2	3	0	0	8
Bol Dengdit	F	24	2-6	0-3	1-1	6	2	0	0	5
Hudson Mayes	G	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Cade Pendleton	F	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	2	3
Ryder Elisaldez	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaden Vance	F	5	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	2	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jac Mani	F	24	8-9	2-3	3-6	7	0	2	0	21
Jake Heidbreder	G	39	5-15	2-10	4-4	2	2	0	0	16
Zaon Collins	G	34	3-9	1-2	2-2	6	8	4	0	9
DeShawn Gory	F	18	3-6	0-1	2-3	3	1	0	0	8
Cameron Faas	G	30	1-7	1-5	2-2	8	0	1	1	5
DJ Stickman	G	19	1-3	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Bastien Rieber	G	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Wilson Jacques	C	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Gasper Kocevar	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

109.7Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency109.7

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

60.0%Effective FG%48.3%

58.9%True Shooting %52.9%

24.9%Turnover Rate20.0%

21.7%Free Throw Rate35.6%

61.7%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.78Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.