Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Portland State

62.2%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -165

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 73

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 76

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricSan Francisco

50.2MMH Power Index50.1

109.3Offensive Efficiency110.4

100.2Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.1Net Efficiency2.2

-5.6Strength of Schedule1.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

70.1Tempo67.6

51.7%Effective FG%51.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate40.5%

6.4Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.4–109.3), strength of schedule (1.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (51.9–51.7), ball security (16.1–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–50.1), defensive efficiency (100.2–108.2), net efficiency (9.1–2.2).

Final

Portland State

70—80

San Francisco

San Francisco by 10 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATSan Francisco

26-66FG26-59

39.0%FG%44.0%

9-273PT10-25

33.0%3PT%40.0%

9-13FT18-25

69.0%FT%72.0%

37Rebounds43

15Offensive Rebounds15

17Assists14

13Turnovers11

2Steals5

1Blocks4

25Fouls18

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	37	6-16	3-8	3-4	0	6	1	0	18
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	32	7-10	0-0	2-2	13	1	0	0	16
Sebastian Tidor	G	23	4-12	3-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	33	4-9	1-4	0-3	7	2	0	1	9
Alex Dupre	G	25	2-4	2-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Terri Miller Jr.	F	28	2-11	0-4	0-0	5	6	1	0	4
Brycen Long	G	8	0-0	0-0	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
Kelcy Phipps	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Charles Chukwu	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Colt Ness	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Beasley	G	36	8-14	3-8	4-6	4	4	1	0	23
Mookie Cook	F	25	5-8	1-3	2-2	5	3	1	2	13
Vukasin Masic	G	30	3-6	3-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	11
Tyrone Riley IV	G	28	4-7	2-3	1-2	6	1	1	1	11
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	11	2-6	0-2	3-4	1	1	0	1	7
Junjie Wang	F	15	1-5	0-1	3-3	4	0	1	0	5
David Fuchs	F	21	1-5	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	0	4
Legend Smiley	G	17	1-5	1-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Saba Gigiberia	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Veniamin Abosi	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

102.0Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency102.0

-14.6Net Efficiency14.6

46.2%Effective FG%52.5%

48.5%True Shooting %56.4%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

19.7%Free Throw Rate42.4%

40.9%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.