Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Central Michigan

79.1%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -378

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 69

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 79

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricSouth Alabama

44MMH Power Index51.4

105.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.9

-5.1Net Efficiency6.4

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.3Tempo67.4

52.6%Effective FG%53.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

32.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-3.5Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–105.9), defensive efficiency (103.9–111.0), net efficiency (6.4–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.6–24.9).

Final

Central Michigan

64—66

South Alabama

South Alabama by 2 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATSouth Alabama

22-64FG23-55

34.0%FG%42.0%

14-443PT5-20

32.0%3PT%25.0%

6-10FT15-23

60.0%FT%65.0%

44Rebounds38

19Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists8

11Turnovers8

4Steals7

7Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Logan McIntire	G	28	7-19	7-18	0-0	4	1	0	0	21
Nathan Claerbaut	C	30	5-8	0-0	2-3	14	1	0	4	12
Jaxson Whitaker	G	22	3-11	3-11	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Rodney Johnson Jr.	F	14	2-3	2-3	0-0	6	0	0	1	6
Tamario Adley	G	29	1-8	1-7	2-4	3	4	0	0	5
Keenan Garner	F	25	2-5	0-0	0-1	1	3	1	1	4
Nick Mullen	F	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	6	0	1	1	4
Will Ashford	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Phat Phat Brooks	G	26	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	6	2	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Olsen	F	33	6-18	4-11	5-5	6	1	2	0	21
Chaze Harris	G	31	8-14	0-1	4-11	9	2	0	1	20
Stephen Williams	F	17	4-6	0-0	1-1	6	1	0	0	9
Randy Brady	F	32	1-2	1-1	4-4	3	1	1	1	7
Peyton Law	F	23	3-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	1	7
Jayden Cooper	G	33	1-7	0-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Brian Hawthorne	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
JJ Wheat	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
John Broom	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

104.2Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency104.2

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

45.3%Effective FG%46.4%

46.5%True Shooting %50.1%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

15.6%Free Throw Rate41.8%

68.8%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.