California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%California

36.9%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -171

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 81

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricKansas State

56.5MMH Power Index47.1

111.8Offensive Efficiency107.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.0Net Efficiency-3.1

2.8Strength of Schedule5.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

69.9Tempo73.8

52.6%Effective FG%53.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate27.4%

4.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–47.1), offensive efficiency (111.8–107.8), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.9), net efficiency (7.0–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–2.8), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–26.6).

Final

California

96—99

Kansas State

Kansas State by 3 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATKansas State

35-62FG38-59

56.0%FG%64.0%

15-283PT9-18

54.0%3PT%50.0%

11-14FT14-21

79.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds6

21Assists21

17Turnovers17

11Steals9

5Blocks5

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Bell	F	29	9-13	7-9	2-2	0	1	0	1	27
Dai Dai Ames	G	32	9-13	5-6	2-2	1	7	5	0	25
Justin Pippen	G	27	4-10	1-4	5-6	2	4	2	1	14
Lee Dort	F	19	5-8	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Semetri Carr	G	16	2-5	0-2	2-3	6	5	0	0	6
John Camden	F	32	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	3	1	0	5
Nolan Dorsey	G	16	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	3	2
Milos Ilic	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	0	2	0	2
Rytis Petraitis	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mantas Kocanas	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	34	7-12	1-1	8-12	3	6	1	0	23
Khamari McGriff	F	20	8-11	0-1	5-5	2	0	2	0	21
Nate Johnson	G	29	9-11	2-3	0-2	3	2	2	0	20
David Castillo	G	23	6-9	4-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	16
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	23	2-4	2-4	1-2	2	5	1	0	7
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Andrej Kostic	F	9	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	4
Dorin Buca	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	4	2
C.J. Jones	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Elias Rapieque	F	23	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

122.4Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency122.4

-3.8Net Efficiency3.8

68.5%Effective FG%72.0%

69.9%True Shooting %71.8%

22.2%Turnover Rate21.3%

22.6%Free Throw Rate35.6%

45.2%3-Point Rate30.5%

1.24Assist / Turnover1.24

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.