Stonehill

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Stonehill

86.6%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -646

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStonehill 64

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreFairfield 76

Team Comparison

StonehillMetricFairfield

37.9MMH Power Index50.1

97.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

100.7Defensive Efficiency105.4

-3.2Net Efficiency4.2

-5.4Strength of Schedule-3.4

-3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

68.1Tempo67.8

48.0%Effective FG%49.1%

19.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

29.2%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-2.2Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–37.9), offensive efficiency (109.6–97.5), net efficiency (4.2–-3.2), strength of schedule (-3.4–-5.4).

Stonehill COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–105.4), free throw rate (29.2–28.4).

Final

Stonehill

71—73

Fairfield

Fairfield by 2 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StonehillTEAM STATFairfield

27-68FG23-67

40.0%FG%34.0%

9-233PT9-28

39.0%3PT%32.0%

8-11FT18-24

73.0%FT%75.0%

44Rebounds43

5Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists9

10Turnovers6

2Steals7

6Blocks9

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Raymond Espinal-Guzman	F	40	7-14	3-6	2-2	12	4	0	2	19
Hermann Koffi	G	43	5-12	4-8	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Chas Stinson	G	32	6-11	0-1	1-3	8	0	1	2	13
Davante Hackett	G	29	4-9	1-4	2-2	2	1	1	2	11
Rex Sunderland	G	39	2-10	1-2	2-2	6	6	0	0	7
Ridvan Tutic	F	17	2-5	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	5
Pearse McGuinn	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Trenton Ruth	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cory Lovell	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anthony Holden	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	33	7-14	4-6	4-4	4	2	1	0	22
Braden Sparks	G	35	4-15	2-7	6-7	4	3	0	0	16
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	35	3-9	1-4	4-6	9	1	3	4	11
Eric Mejia	G	18	1-4	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Isaac Munkadi	F	13	2-4	0-2	1-3	8	1	0	3	5
Halon Rawlins	G	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Brandon Benjamin	F	33	2-5	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	2	4
Michael Rogan	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Nasir Rodriguez	G	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Cam Estevez	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Tony Williams	G	9	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

91.8Offensive Efficiency94.4

94.4Defensive Efficiency91.8

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

46.3%Effective FG%41.0%

48.5%True Shooting %46.6%

12.8%Turnover Rate7.9%

16.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

33.8%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.