Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%Northwestern

43.3%DePaul

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDePaul -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -131

DePaul

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 71

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreDePaul 72

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricDePaul

55.4MMH Power Index48.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency103.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency102.7

1.8Net Efficiency1.0

5.6Strength of Schedule2.0

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

65.6Tempo67.7

51.9%Effective FG%49.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

1.2Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (111.6–103.7), net efficiency (1.8–1.0), strength of schedule (5.6–2.0).

DePaul COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (29.7–28.2), free throw rate (36.8–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

81—79

DePaul

Northwestern by 2 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATDePaul

29-50FG25-59

58.0%FG%42.0%

7-163PT7-21

44.0%3PT%33.0%

16-24FT22-27

67.0%FT%81.0%

25Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds16

17Assists16

11Turnovers13

6Steals3

6Blocks—

26Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	34	8-11	1-1	7-8	5	2	1	1	24
Arrinten Page	F	28	10-11	0-0	2-4	5	2	1	1	22
Jayden Reid	G	22	5-9	2-4	5-6	2	4	1	1	17
Tre Singleton	F	19	4-5	2-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	10
Max Green	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
K.J. Windham	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	27	0-2	0-1	1-2	5	3	1	2	1
Justin Mullins	G	17	0-1	0-1	1-4	1	4	0	1	1
Jake West	G	16	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Tyler Kropp	F	8	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

DePaul

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kruz McClure	G	21	3-6	1-2	8-10	1	2	0	15
Layden Blocker	G	30	5-16	2-7	2-2	3	1	0	14
CJ Gunn	G	22	6-10	1-3	0-0	2	2	1	13
Kaleb Banks	F	20	2-6	1-3	4-5	4	0	1	9
RJ Smith	G	22	2-8	1-3	2-2	0	2	1	7
NJ Benson	F	19	3-3	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	7
Fabián Flores	C	16	2-3	0-0	2-2	8	1	0	6
Brandon Maclin	G	26	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	5
Théo Pierre-Justin	F	18	0-3	0-2	3-4	3	4	0	3
Jeremy Lorenz	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

119.8Offensive Efficiency116.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency119.8

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

65.0%Effective FG%48.3%

66.0%True Shooting %55.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

48.0%Free Throw Rate45.8%

32.0%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.