Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.5%Cal Poly

59.5%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana -147

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 79

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreMontana 84

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricMontana

46.5MMH Power Index45.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-3.8Net Efficiency3.8

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.4

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

76.6Tempo71.2

52.2%Effective FG%56.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate19.2%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-2.9Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.6–107.2), defensive efficiency (104.8–111.0), net efficiency (3.8–-3.8), shooting efficiency (56.3–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.5–45.4), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.4), recent form (2.4–-6.5).

Final

Cal Poly

82—90

Montana

Montana by 8 • 80.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATMontana

30-69FG29-64

43.0%FG%45.0%

7-203PT9-30

35.0%3PT%30.0%

15-21FT23-29

71.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists17

14Turnovers12

6Steals5

2Blocks5

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Bandelj	G	34	5-13	2-3	9-10	0	2	1	0	21
Cayden Ward	G	25	7-13	1-4	0-3	6	0	1	0	15
Jake Davis	G	34	6-12	1-3	1-1	6	1	2	0	14
Kieran Elliott	G	27	3-6	1-2	2-2	3	3	0	1	9
Austin Goode	F	7	3-4	1-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	8
Troy Plumtree	F	21	3-7	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	8	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Ali Assran	F	18	1-6	0-2	0-0	12	1	1	1	2
Jason Scott	G	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	29	11-18	4-8	5-6	4	6	0	1	31
Tyler Isaak	G	37	5-11	2-5	7-8	7	3	1	0	19
Brooklyn Hicks	G	32	5-11	1-5	3-6	4	2	2	0	14
Kenyon Aguino	F	23	2-4	0-1	2-3	3	4	1	0	6
Chase Henderson	G	12	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	6
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	29	1-6	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	1	4
Connor Dick	G	7	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	2	4
Tyler Thompson	G	22	1-6	1-6	0-0	6	0	0	1	3
Courtney Anderson Jr.	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

80.9Possessions80.9

101.4Offensive Efficiency111.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency101.4

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

48.6%Effective FG%52.3%

51.9%True Shooting %57.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

30.4%Free Throw Rate45.3%

29.0%3-Point Rate46.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 80.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.